Strong opening weekend momentum for *Toy Story 5* has given way to sharp week-to-week drops typical of front-loaded animated sequels, with domestic earnings falling from $160 million in week one to roughly $71 million in week two and $30 million in week three. Traders see the fourth weekend (July 10–12) as a toss-up across the $19–25 million buckets because the film’s legs have shortened faster than historical Pixar benchmarks amid summer competition and audience fatigue. Key swing factors include daily tracking updates, any late promotional pushes from Disney, and whether family audiences return before school-year shifts. The even split in market-implied odds reflects this narrow band of plausible outcomes with no single catalyst yet breaking the deadlock.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日「トイ・ストーリー5」4 th Weekend Box Office
「トイ・ストーリー5」4 th Weekend Box Office
1,900万～2,100万ドル 100.0%
1,900万未満 <1%
2,100万～2,300万 <1%
2,300万～2,500万 <1%
$50,116 Vol.
$50,116 Vol.
2026/07/12
1,900万未満
いいえ
1,900万～2,100万ドル
はい
2,100万～2,300万
いいえ
2,300万～2,500万
いいえ
2,500万ドル以上
いいえ
1,900万～2,100万ドル 100.0%
1,900万未満 <1%
2,100万～2,300万 <1%
2,300万～2,500万 <1%
$50,116 Vol.
$50,116 Vol.
2026/07/12
1,900万未満
$30,577 Vol.
いいえ
1,900万～2,100万ドル
$15,942 Vol.
はい
2,100万～2,300万
$1,290 Vol.
いいえ
2,300万～2,500万
$1,391 Vol.
いいえ
2,500万ドル以上
$917 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve according to how much "Toy Story 5" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its fourth weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (July 10 - July 12) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by July 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Strong opening weekend momentum for *Toy Story 5* has given way to sharp week-to-week drops typical of front-loaded animated sequels, with domestic earnings falling from $160 million in week one to roughly $71 million in week two and $30 million in week three. Traders see the fourth weekend (July 10–12) as a toss-up across the $19–25 million buckets because the film’s legs have shortened faster than historical Pixar benchmarks amid summer competition and audience fatigue. Key swing factors include daily tracking updates, any late promotional pushes from Disney, and whether family audiences return before school-year shifts. The even split in market-implied odds reflects this narrow band of plausible outcomes with no single catalyst yet breaking the deadlock.
This market will resolve according to how much "Toy Story 5" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its fourth weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (July 10 - July 12) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by July 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by July 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
マーケット開始日： Jul 9, 2026, 10:34 AM ET
音量
$50,116終了日
2026/07/12マーケット開始日
Jul 9, 2026, 10:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve according to how much "Toy Story 5" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its fourth weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (July 10 - July 12) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by July 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Strong opening weekend momentum for *Toy Story 5* has given way to sharp week-to-week drops typical of front-loaded animated sequels, with domestic earnings falling from $160 million in week one to roughly $71 million in week two and $30 million in week three. Traders see the fourth weekend (July 10–12) as a toss-up across the $19–25 million buckets because the film’s legs have shortened faster than historical Pixar benchmarks amid summer competition and audience fatigue. Key swing factors include daily tracking updates, any late promotional pushes from Disney, and whether family audiences return before school-year shifts. The even split in market-implied odds reflects this narrow band of plausible outcomes with no single catalyst yet breaking the deadlock.
This market will resolve according to how much "Toy Story 5" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its fourth weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (July 10 - July 12) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by July 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by July 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
音量
$50,116終了日
2026/07/12マーケット開始日
Jul 9, 2026, 10:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Strong opening weekend momentum for *Toy Story 5* has given way to sharp week-to-week drops typical of front-loaded animated sequels, with domestic earnings falling from $160 million in week one to roughly $71 million in week two and $30 million in week three. Traders see the fourth weekend (July 10–12) as a toss-up across the $19–25 million buckets because the film’s legs have shortened faster than historical Pixar benchmarks amid summer competition and audience fatigue. Key swing factors include daily tracking updates, any late promotional pushes from Disney, and whether family audiences return before school-year shifts. The even split in market-implied odds reflects this narrow band of plausible outcomes with no single catalyst yet breaking the deadlock.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問