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icon for Ted Cruz #は2026年8月11日〜18日に投稿しましたか?

Ted Cruz #は2026年8月11日〜18日に投稿しましたか?

icon for Ted Cruz #は2026年8月11日〜18日に投稿しましたか?

Ted Cruz #は2026年8月11日〜18日に投稿しましたか?

160-179 100.0%

<20 <1%

20-39 <1%

40-59 <1%

Polymarket

$18,277 Vol.

160-179 100.0%

<20 <1%

20-39 <1%

40-59 <1%

Polymarket

$18,277 Vol.

<20

$500 Vol.

No

20-39

$648 Vol.

No

40-59

$546 Vol.

No

60-79

$919 Vol.

No

80-99

$657 Vol.

No

100-119

$1,032 Vol.

No

120-139

$1,403 Vol.

No

140-159

$2,675 Vol.

No

160-179

$4,843 Vol.

Yes

180-199

$2,989 Vol.

No

200+

$2,067 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Ted Cruz maintains a consistent pattern of high-volume activity on X, frequently posting 15–25 times daily through commentary on Senate matters, partisan primaries, foreign policy, and episodes of his Verdict podcast. This established cadence, which has produced annual totals in the thousands, has led traders to assign near-certainty to the 160-179 range for the eight-day window ending August 18. Recent posts on Michigan Democratic races, UK speech issues, and related controversies align with that baseline. A sharp reduction in output from illness, extended travel, or a major offline commitment during the period remains the primary scenario that could shift the final count outside the current market range.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$18,277
終了日
2026/08/18
マーケット開始日
Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

結算ソース

https://x.com/tedcruz

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...

提案された結果: No

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: No

This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Ted Cruz maintains a consistent pattern of high-volume activity on X, frequently posting 15–25 times daily through commentary on Senate matters, partisan primaries, foreign policy, and episodes of his Verdict podcast. This established cadence, which has produced annual totals in the thousands, has led traders to assign near-certainty to the 160-179 range for the eight-day window ending August 18. Recent posts on Michigan Democratic races, UK speech issues, and related controversies align with that baseline. A sharp reduction in output from illness, extended travel, or a major offline commitment during the period remains the primary scenario that could shift the final count outside the current market range.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$18,277
終了日
2026/08/18
マーケット開始日
Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

結算ソース

https://x.com/tedcruz

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...

提案された結果: No

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: No

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「Ted Cruz #は2026年8月11日〜18日に投稿しましたか?」はPolymarket上の11個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「160-179」で100%、次いで「<20」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Ted Cruz #は2026年8月11日〜18日に投稿しましたか?」は$18.3Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Aug 8, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Ted Cruz #は2026年8月11日〜18日に投稿しましたか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている11個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Ted Cruz #は2026年8月11日〜18日に投稿しましたか?」の現在のフロントランナーは「160-179」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「<20」で0%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Ted Cruz #は2026年8月11日〜18日に投稿しましたか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。