**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** delivered a record $360 million domestic opening weekend but followed with an estimated $145 million in its second frame, landing comfortably below the 180 million threshold that now carries 100% implied probability on Polymarket. The roughly 60% drop aligns with historical patterns for major superhero launches, including Avengers: Endgame, while still ranking as the third-highest second weekend ever. Strong word-of-mouth, minimal competition, and continued international strength have sustained momentum, yet the sophomore figure remains far short of higher brackets. Final actuals and any late adjustments will confirm resolution, with only extreme reporting anomalies likely to shift the current trader consensus.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office
<180m 100.0%
1億8000万～1億9000万 <1%
190-200m <1%
2億〜2億1千万 <1%
$60,733 Vol.
$60,733 Vol.
2026/08/09
<180m
Yes
1億8000万～1億9000万
いいえ
190-200m
No
2億〜2億1千万
いいえ
2億1千万～2億2千万
いいえ
2億2千万以上
いいえ
<180m 100.0%
1億8000万～1億9000万 <1%
190-200m <1%
2億〜2億1千万 <1%
$60,733 Vol.
$60,733 Vol.
2026/08/09
<180m
$41,355 Vol.
Yes
1億8000万～1億9000万
$5,434 Vol.
いいえ
190-200m
$4,010 Vol.
No
2億〜2億1千万
$1,936 Vol.
いいえ
2億1千万～2億2千万
$3,503 Vol.
いいえ
2億2千万以上
$4,495 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** delivered a record $360 million domestic opening weekend but followed with an estimated $145 million in its second frame, landing comfortably below the 180 million threshold that now carries 100% implied probability on Polymarket. The roughly 60% drop aligns with historical patterns for major superhero launches, including Avengers: Endgame, while still ranking as the third-highest second weekend ever. Strong word-of-mouth, minimal competition, and continued international strength have sustained momentum, yet the sophomore figure remains far short of higher brackets. Final actuals and any late adjustments will confirm resolution, with only extreme reporting anomalies likely to shift the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
マーケット開始日： Aug 3, 2026, 8:32 PM ET
音量
$60,733終了日
2026/08/09マーケット開始日
Aug 3, 2026, 8:32 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: Yes
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: Yes
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** delivered a record $360 million domestic opening weekend but followed with an estimated $145 million in its second frame, landing comfortably below the 180 million threshold that now carries 100% implied probability on Polymarket. The roughly 60% drop aligns with historical patterns for major superhero launches, including Avengers: Endgame, while still ranking as the third-highest second weekend ever. Strong word-of-mouth, minimal competition, and continued international strength have sustained momentum, yet the sophomore figure remains far short of higher brackets. Final actuals and any late adjustments will confirm resolution, with only extreme reporting anomalies likely to shift the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
音量
$60,733終了日
2026/08/09マーケット開始日
Aug 3, 2026, 8:32 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: Yes
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: Yes
**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** delivered a record $360 million domestic opening weekend but followed with an estimated $145 million in its second frame, landing comfortably below the 180 million threshold that now carries 100% implied probability on Polymarket. The roughly 60% drop aligns with historical patterns for major superhero launches, including Avengers: Endgame, while still ranking as the third-highest second weekend ever. Strong word-of-mouth, minimal competition, and continued international strength have sustained momentum, yet the sophomore figure remains far short of higher brackets. Final actuals and any late adjustments will confirm resolution, with only extreme reporting anomalies likely to shift the current trader consensus.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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