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icon for SpaceXのIPO : IPO価格を上回るオープン価格?

SpaceXのIPO : IPO価格を上回るオープン価格?

icon for SpaceXのIPO : IPO価格を上回るオープン価格?

SpaceXのIPO : IPO価格を上回るオープン価格?

はい

>99% 確率
Polymarket

$7,991 Vol.

はい

>99% 確率
Polymarket

$7,991 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if SpaceX's opening share price on its first day of trading is above its IPO offer price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The official opening and IPO prices as listed by the primary exchange and will be considered the opening and IPO share prices for the purposes of this market. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. If no official opening price for the first day of trading is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official opening price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX’s record $75 billion IPO, priced at $135 per share on June 11, opened at $150 the next day on Nasdaq under ticker SPCX amid extraordinary demand exceeding $250 billion from institutions and retail investors. Traders assign near-certain odds to an opening price above the IPO level because of proven Starlink revenue growth, the company’s launch dominance, its February merger with xAI for orbital AI infrastructure, and Elon Musk’s history of high-valuation debuts. The oversubscribed book and positive sentiment around upcoming Starship milestones and space data-center plans reinforced expectations of a strong debut pop. While last-minute market volatility or regulatory hiccups could theoretically influence trading mechanics, the scale of confirmed orders and June 12 execution make reversal of the outcome highly improbable.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if SpaceX's opening share price on its first day of trading is above its IPO offer price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The official opening and IPO prices as listed by the primary exchange and will be considered the opening and IPO share prices for the purposes of this market.

If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

If no official opening price for the first day of trading is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official opening price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
音量
$7,991
マーケット開始日
Jun 9, 2026, 1:31 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if SpaceX's opening share price on its first day of trading is above its IPO offer price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The official opening and IPO prices as listed by the primary exchange and will be considered the opening and IPO share prices for the purposes of this market. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. If no official opening price for the first day of trading is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official opening price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

提案された結果: はい

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: はい

This market will resolve to “Yes” if SpaceX's opening share price on its first day of trading is above its IPO offer price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The official opening and IPO prices as listed by the primary exchange and will be considered the opening and IPO share prices for the purposes of this market. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. If no official opening price for the first day of trading is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official opening price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX’s record $75 billion IPO, priced at $135 per share on June 11, opened at $150 the next day on Nasdaq under ticker SPCX amid extraordinary demand exceeding $250 billion from institutions and retail investors. Traders assign near-certain odds to an opening price above the IPO level because of proven Starlink revenue growth, the company’s launch dominance, its February merger with xAI for orbital AI infrastructure, and Elon Musk’s history of high-valuation debuts. The oversubscribed book and positive sentiment around upcoming Starship milestones and space data-center plans reinforced expectations of a strong debut pop. While last-minute market volatility or regulatory hiccups could theoretically influence trading mechanics, the scale of confirmed orders and June 12 execution make reversal of the outcome highly improbable.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if SpaceX's opening share price on its first day of trading is above its IPO offer price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The official opening and IPO prices as listed by the primary exchange and will be considered the opening and IPO share prices for the purposes of this market.

If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

If no official opening price for the first day of trading is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official opening price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
音量
$7,991
マーケット開始日
Jun 9, 2026, 1:31 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if SpaceX's opening share price on its first day of trading is above its IPO offer price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The official opening and IPO prices as listed by the primary exchange and will be considered the opening and IPO share prices for the purposes of this market. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. If no official opening price for the first day of trading is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official opening price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

提案された結果: はい

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: はい

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「SpaceXのIPO : IPO価格を上回るオープン価格?」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「スペースXのIPO:初値は公募価格を上回るか?」で100%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「SpaceXのIPO : IPO価格を上回るオープン価格?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Jun 9, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「SpaceXのIPO : IPO価格を上回るオープン価格?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「SpaceXのIPO : IPO価格を上回るオープン価格?」の現在のフロントランナーは「スペースXのIPO:初値は公募価格を上回るか?」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「SpaceXのIPO : IPO価格を上回るオープン価格?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。