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Popular Vote Winner 2024

Market icon

Popular Vote Winner 2024

Donald Trump 100.0%

Michelle Obama <1%

Ron DeSantis <1%

Kamala Harris <1%

Polymarket

$628,163,458 Vol.

Donald Trump 100.0%

Michelle Obama <1%

Ron DeSantis <1%

Kamala Harris <1%

Polymarket

$628,163,458 Vol.

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Michelle Obama

$36,970,806 Vol.

No

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Ron DeSantis

$39,315,353 Vol.

No

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Kamala Harris

$163,779,787 Vol.

No

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Donald Trump

$119,932,621 Vol.

Yes

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Joe Biden

$12,582,925 Vol.

No

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Nikki Haley

$21,923,974 Vol.

No

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Vivek Ramaswamy

$5,699,934 Vol.

No

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Gavin Newsom

$8,544,096 Vol.

No

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Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$47,770,371 Vol.

No

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Chris Christie

$5,734,813 Vol.

No

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Hillary Clinton

$70,237,133 Vol.

No

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Bernie Sanders

$6,000,188 Vol.

No

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AOC

$6,367,581 Vol.

No

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Elizabeth Warren

$5,356,970 Vol.

No

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Kanye West

$6,217,812 Vol.

No

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Other Democrat Politician

$36,496,307 Vol.

No

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Other Republican Politician

$35,232,789 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Michelle Obama is the candidate who receives the most votes in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting as to who is the winner of the popular vote. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ron DeSantis is the candidate who receives the most votes in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting as to who is the winner of the popular vote. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kamala Harris is the candidate who receives the most votes in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting as to who is the winner of the popular vote. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump is the candidate who receives the most votes in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting as to who is the winner of the popular vote.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joe Biden is the candidate who receives the most votes in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting as to who is the winner of the popular vote. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nikki Haley is the candidate who receives the most votes in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting as to who is the winner of the popular vote. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vivek Ramaswamy is the candidate who receives the most votes in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting as to who is the winner of the popular vote. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Gavin Newsom is the candidate who receives the most votes in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting as to who is the winner of the popular vote. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. is the candidate who receives the most votes in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting as to who is the winner of the popular vote. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Chris Christie is the candidate who receives the most votes in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting as to who is the winner of the popular vote. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Hillary Clinton is the candidate who receives the most votes in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting as to who is the winner of the popular vote. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bernie Sanders is the candidate who receives the most votes in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting as to who is the winner of the popular vote. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is the candidate who receives the most votes in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting as to who is the winner of the popular vote. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Elizabeth Warren is the candidate who receives the most votes in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting as to who is the winner of the popular vote. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West is the candidate who receives the most votes in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting as to who is the winner of the popular vote. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any other Democratic Politician other than Joe Biden, Gavin Newsom, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Kamala Harris, Michelle Obama, Hillary Clinton, AOC, Bernie Sanders, and Elizabeth Warren is the candidate who receives the most votes in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting as to who is the winner of the popular vote.This market will resolve to “Yes” if any other Republican Politician other than Donald J. Trump, Nikki Haley, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Ron DeSantis, Vivek Ramaswamy, and Chris Christie is the candidate who receives the most votes in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting as to who is the winner of the popular vote.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump is the candidate who receives the most votes in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”

In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting as to who is the winner of the popular vote.
音量
$628,163,458
終了日
Nov 4, 2024
マーケット開始日
Jan 9, 2024, 6:53 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump is the candidate who receives the most votes in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting as to who is the winner of the popular vote.

提案された結果: Yes

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: Yes

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Michelle Obama is the candidate who receives the most votes in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting as to who is the winner of the popular vote. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ron DeSantis is the candidate who receives the most votes in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting as to who is the winner of the popular vote. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kamala Harris is the candidate who receives the most votes in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting as to who is the winner of the popular vote. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump is the candidate who receives the most votes in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting as to who is the winner of the popular vote.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joe Biden is the candidate who receives the most votes in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting as to who is the winner of the popular vote. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nikki Haley is the candidate who receives the most votes in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting as to who is the winner of the popular vote. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vivek Ramaswamy is the candidate who receives the most votes in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting as to who is the winner of the popular vote. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Gavin Newsom is the candidate who receives the most votes in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting as to who is the winner of the popular vote. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. is the candidate who receives the most votes in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting as to who is the winner of the popular vote. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Chris Christie is the candidate who receives the most votes in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting as to who is the winner of the popular vote. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Hillary Clinton is the candidate who receives the most votes in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting as to who is the winner of the popular vote. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bernie Sanders is the candidate who receives the most votes in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting as to who is the winner of the popular vote. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is the candidate who receives the most votes in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting as to who is the winner of the popular vote. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Elizabeth Warren is the candidate who receives the most votes in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting as to who is the winner of the popular vote. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West is the candidate who receives the most votes in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting as to who is the winner of the popular vote. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any other Democratic Politician other than Joe Biden, Gavin Newsom, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Kamala Harris, Michelle Obama, Hillary Clinton, AOC, Bernie Sanders, and Elizabeth Warren is the candidate who receives the most votes in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting as to who is the winner of the popular vote.This market will resolve to “Yes” if any other Republican Politician other than Donald J. Trump, Nikki Haley, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Ron DeSantis, Vivek Ramaswamy, and Chris Christie is the candidate who receives the most votes in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting as to who is the winner of the popular vote.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「Popular Vote Winner 2024」はPolymarket上の17個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Donald Trump」で100%、次いで「Michelle Obama」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Popular Vote Winner 2024」は$628.2 millionの総取引量を生み出しています(Jan 9, 2024のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Popular Vote Winner 2024」で取引するには、このページに記載されている17個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Popular Vote Winner 2024」の現在のフロントランナーは「Donald Trump」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Michelle Obama」で0%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Popular Vote Winner 2024」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。