Dune: Part Three holds the market lead at 53.5% implied probability, buoyed by the franchise’s consecutive prior wins in the category and expectations for Denis Villeneuve’s continued emphasis on large-scale, practical-augmented world-building ahead of its December release. Several 2026 releases, including The Odyssey and Project Hail Mary, have already generated substantial trader interest through their blend of practical effects, puppetry, and CGI, creating a crowded field where many films sit near even odds. This reflects early uncertainty before full critical and guild assessments, with Godzilla Minus Zero and Marvel entries like Spider-Man: Brand New Day or Avengers: Doomsday viewed as longer shots. Key upcoming catalysts include Dune’s premiere and the VFX branch shortlist process.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日オスカー2027 ：最優秀ビジュアル効果賞受賞者
オスカー2027 ：最優秀ビジュアル効果賞受賞者
デューン：パート3 54%
プロジェクト・ヘイル・メアリー 26%
オデッセイ 12%
ゴジラ-1.0 10.1%
$19,029 Vol.
$19,029 Vol.
2027/03/14
デューン：パート3
54%
プロジェクト・ヘイル・メアリー
26%
オデッセイ
12%
ゴジラ-1.0
10%
スパイダーマン：ブランニュー・デイ
3%
アベンジャーズ：ドゥームズデイ
3%
デューン：パート3 54%
プロジェクト・ヘイル・メアリー 26%
オデッセイ 12%
ゴジラ-1.0 10.1%
$19,029 Vol.
$19,029 Vol.
2027/03/14
デューン：パート3
$15,745 Vol.
54%
プロジェクト・ヘイル・メアリー
$1,626 Vol.
26%
オデッセイ
$470 Vol.
12%
ゴジラ-1.0
$483 Vol.
10%
スパイダーマン：ブランニュー・デイ
$282 Vol.
3%
アベンジャーズ：ドゥームズデイ
$423 Vol.
3%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Visual Effects.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Visual Effects when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Dune: Part Three holds the market lead at 53.5% implied probability, buoyed by the franchise’s consecutive prior wins in the category and expectations for Denis Villeneuve’s continued emphasis on large-scale, practical-augmented world-building ahead of its December release. Several 2026 releases, including The Odyssey and Project Hail Mary, have already generated substantial trader interest through their blend of practical effects, puppetry, and CGI, creating a crowded field where many films sit near even odds. This reflects early uncertainty before full critical and guild assessments, with Godzilla Minus Zero and Marvel entries like Spider-Man: Brand New Day or Avengers: Doomsday viewed as longer shots. Key upcoming catalysts include Dune’s premiere and the VFX branch shortlist process.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Visual Effects.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Visual Effects when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Visual Effects.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Visual Effects when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Aug 6, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
音量
$19,029終了日
2027/03/14マーケット開始日
Aug 6, 2026, 3:17 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Visual Effects.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Visual Effects when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Dune: Part Three holds the market lead at 53.5% implied probability, buoyed by the franchise’s consecutive prior wins in the category and expectations for Denis Villeneuve’s continued emphasis on large-scale, practical-augmented world-building ahead of its December release. Several 2026 releases, including The Odyssey and Project Hail Mary, have already generated substantial trader interest through their blend of practical effects, puppetry, and CGI, creating a crowded field where many films sit near even odds. This reflects early uncertainty before full critical and guild assessments, with Godzilla Minus Zero and Marvel entries like Spider-Man: Brand New Day or Avengers: Doomsday viewed as longer shots. Key upcoming catalysts include Dune’s premiere and the VFX branch shortlist process.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Visual Effects.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Visual Effects when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Visual Effects.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Visual Effects when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$19,029終了日
2027/03/14マーケット開始日
Aug 6, 2026, 3:17 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Dune: Part Three holds the market lead at 53.5% implied probability, buoyed by the franchise’s consecutive prior wins in the category and expectations for Denis Villeneuve’s continued emphasis on large-scale, practical-augmented world-building ahead of its December release. Several 2026 releases, including The Odyssey and Project Hail Mary, have already generated substantial trader interest through their blend of practical effects, puppetry, and CGI, creating a crowded field where many films sit near even odds. This reflects early uncertainty before full critical and guild assessments, with Godzilla Minus Zero and Marvel entries like Spider-Man: Brand New Day or Avengers: Doomsday viewed as longer shots. Key upcoming catalysts include Dune’s premiere and the VFX branch shortlist process.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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