Nvidia's market cap at the end of 2026 reflects traders balancing explosive AI infrastructure demand against rising competitive and execution risks. Recent quarterly results showed data center revenue near $89 billion on Blackwell and early Vera Rubin shipments, with management guiding roughly 70% fiscal 2028 growth still supply-constrained by memory and power availability. The Vera Rubin platform's full-stack integration of Vera CPU, GPU, NVLink, and networking is expanding revenue per gigawatt while hyperscalers accelerate capex, yet custom ASICs from Google, Amazon, Microsoft, and OpenAI plus AMD's MI350/MI450 gains are eroding share in inference workloads. With the stock near $5.5 trillion and only months left, the tight split between $6.5 trillion-plus and $5.5–6 trillion outcomes captures uncertainty over whether Rubin momentum and financing deals can overcome potential inventory digestion or margin pressure before year-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6.5兆ドル以上 26%
5.50～6.00兆ドル 24%
5.00〜5.50兆ドル 16%
4.50〜5.00兆ドル 14%
新規
新規
2026/12/31
4兆ドル未満
10%
4.00兆〜4.50兆ドル
10%
4.50〜5.00兆ドル
14%
5.00〜5.50兆ドル
16%
5.50～6.00兆ドル
24%
6.00〜6.50兆ドル
14%
6.5兆ドル以上
26%
6.5兆ドル以上 26%
5.50～6.00兆ドル 24%
5.00〜5.50兆ドル 16%
4.50〜5.00兆ドル 14%
新規
新規
2026/12/31
4兆ドル未満
$2,295 Vol.
10%
4.00兆〜4.50兆ドル
$661 Vol.
10%
4.50〜5.00兆ドル
$531 Vol.
14%
5.00〜5.50兆ドル
$911 Vol.
16%
5.50～6.00兆ドル
$2,757 Vol.
24%
6.00〜6.50兆ドル
$754 Vol.
14%
6.5兆ドル以上
$604 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve according to Nvidia's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Nvidia's market cap at the end of 2026 reflects traders balancing explosive AI infrastructure demand against rising competitive and execution risks. Recent quarterly results showed data center revenue near $89 billion on Blackwell and early Vera Rubin shipments, with management guiding roughly 70% fiscal 2028 growth still supply-constrained by memory and power availability. The Vera Rubin platform's full-stack integration of Vera CPU, GPU, NVLink, and networking is expanding revenue per gigawatt while hyperscalers accelerate capex, yet custom ASICs from Google, Amazon, Microsoft, and OpenAI plus AMD's MI350/MI450 gains are eroding share in inference workloads. With the stock near $5.5 trillion and only months left, the tight split between $6.5 trillion-plus and $5.5–6 trillion outcomes captures uncertainty over whether Rubin momentum and financing deals can overcome potential inventory digestion or margin pressure before year-end.
This market will resolve according to Nvidia's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
マーケット開始日： Aug 5, 2026, 7:54 AM ET
音量
$8,514終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Aug 5, 2026, 7:54 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Nvidia's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Nvidia's market cap at the end of 2026 reflects traders balancing explosive AI infrastructure demand against rising competitive and execution risks. Recent quarterly results showed data center revenue near $89 billion on Blackwell and early Vera Rubin shipments, with management guiding roughly 70% fiscal 2028 growth still supply-constrained by memory and power availability. The Vera Rubin platform's full-stack integration of Vera CPU, GPU, NVLink, and networking is expanding revenue per gigawatt while hyperscalers accelerate capex, yet custom ASICs from Google, Amazon, Microsoft, and OpenAI plus AMD's MI350/MI450 gains are eroding share in inference workloads. With the stock near $5.5 trillion and only months left, the tight split between $6.5 trillion-plus and $5.5–6 trillion outcomes captures uncertainty over whether Rubin momentum and financing deals can overcome potential inventory digestion or margin pressure before year-end.
This market will resolve according to Nvidia's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
音量
$8,514終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Aug 5, 2026, 7:54 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Nvidia's market cap at the end of 2026 reflects traders balancing explosive AI infrastructure demand against rising competitive and execution risks. Recent quarterly results showed data center revenue near $89 billion on Blackwell and early Vera Rubin shipments, with management guiding roughly 70% fiscal 2028 growth still supply-constrained by memory and power availability. The Vera Rubin platform's full-stack integration of Vera CPU, GPU, NVLink, and networking is expanding revenue per gigawatt while hyperscalers accelerate capex, yet custom ASICs from Google, Amazon, Microsoft, and OpenAI plus AMD's MI350/MI450 gains are eroding share in inference workloads. With the stock near $5.5 trillion and only months left, the tight split between $6.5 trillion-plus and $5.5–6 trillion outcomes captures uncertainty over whether Rubin momentum and financing deals can overcome potential inventory digestion or margin pressure before year-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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