Recent candidate announcements and polling shifts ahead of the November 4 local government elections have kept probabilities closely matched across a wide field. MK Party support reached 55% in the latest Ipsos survey, yet its eThekwini nominee changed on September 9 following an internal purge that removed Zandile Hlophe-Mkhwanazi in favor of Apostle Mxolisi Phakathi. The IFP named Mkhuleko Hlengwa in late August, the DA selected Haniff Hoosen, ActionSA backed Zwakele Mncwango, and the EFF chose Hlengiwe Mkhaliphi, while the ANC continues weighing a shortlist that includes incumbent Cyril Xaba. Traders appear to price in coalition risks and unresolved ANC selection, leaving no single contender with a decisive edge in the market.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ムクレコ・フレンワ 30%
ハニフ・フーセン 28%
ザンディレ・フロペ＝ムクワナジ 14%
タバニ・ニャオセ 13%
$22,827 Vol.
$22,827 Vol.
2026/11/04
ムクレコ・フレンワ
30%
ハニフ・フーセン
28%
ザンディレ・フロペ＝ムクワナジ
14%
タバニ・ニャオセ
13%
マギー・ゴヴェンダー
6%
フィラニ・マヴンドラ
5%
ミナ・ソマ＝レソマ
3%
Hlengiwe Mkhaliphi
2%
シリル・ザバ
2%
ザンディレ・グメデ
1%
ノムサ・ドゥベ＝ンクベ
<1%
ズワケレ・ムンクワンゴ
<1%
ムクレコ・フレンワ 30%
ハニフ・フーセン 28%
ザンディレ・フロペ＝ムクワナジ 14%
タバニ・ニャオセ 13%
$22,827 Vol.
$22,827 Vol.
2026/11/04
ムクレコ・フレンワ
$1,091 Vol.
30%
ハニフ・フーセン
$4,745 Vol.
28%
ザンディレ・フロペ＝ムクワナジ
$1,383 Vol.
14%
タバニ・ニャオセ
$302 Vol.
13%
マギー・ゴヴェンダー
$135 Vol.
6%
フィラニ・マヴンドラ
$57 Vol.
5%
ミナ・ソマ＝レソマ
$860 Vol.
3%
Hlengiwe Mkhaliphi
$187 Vol.
2%
シリル・ザバ
$8,376 Vol.
2%
ザンディレ・グメデ
$1,914 Vol.
1%
ノムサ・ドゥベ＝ンクベ
$897 Vol.
<1%
ズワケレ・ムンクワンゴ
$2,878 Vol.
<1%
Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. eThekwini’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of eThekwini following the 2026 South African municipal elections.
A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the eThekwini Municipal Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent candidate announcements and polling shifts ahead of the November 4 local government elections have kept probabilities closely matched across a wide field. MK Party support reached 55% in the latest Ipsos survey, yet its eThekwini nominee changed on September 9 following an internal purge that removed Zandile Hlophe-Mkhwanazi in favor of Apostle Mxolisi Phakathi. The IFP named Mkhuleko Hlengwa in late August, the DA selected Haniff Hoosen, ActionSA backed Zwakele Mncwango, and the EFF chose Hlengiwe Mkhaliphi, while the ANC continues weighing a shortlist that includes incumbent Cyril Xaba. Traders appear to price in coalition risks and unresolved ANC selection, leaving no single contender with a decisive edge in the market.
Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. eThekwini’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of eThekwini following the 2026 South African municipal elections.
A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the eThekwini Municipal Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of eThekwini following the 2026 South African municipal elections.
A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the eThekwini Municipal Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Aug 18, 2026, 10:57 AM ET
音量
$22,827終了日
2026/11/18マーケット開始日
Aug 18, 2026, 10:57 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. eThekwini’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of eThekwini following the 2026 South African municipal elections.
A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the eThekwini Municipal Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent candidate announcements and polling shifts ahead of the November 4 local government elections have kept probabilities closely matched across a wide field. MK Party support reached 55% in the latest Ipsos survey, yet its eThekwini nominee changed on September 9 following an internal purge that removed Zandile Hlophe-Mkhwanazi in favor of Apostle Mxolisi Phakathi. The IFP named Mkhuleko Hlengwa in late August, the DA selected Haniff Hoosen, ActionSA backed Zwakele Mncwango, and the EFF chose Hlengiwe Mkhaliphi, while the ANC continues weighing a shortlist that includes incumbent Cyril Xaba. Traders appear to price in coalition risks and unresolved ANC selection, leaving no single contender with a decisive edge in the market.
Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. eThekwini’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of eThekwini following the 2026 South African municipal elections.
A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the eThekwini Municipal Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of eThekwini following the 2026 South African municipal elections.
A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the eThekwini Municipal Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$22,827終了日
2026/11/18マーケット開始日
Aug 18, 2026, 10:57 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent candidate announcements and polling shifts ahead of the November 4 local government elections have kept probabilities closely matched across a wide field. MK Party support reached 55% in the latest Ipsos survey, yet its eThekwini nominee changed on September 9 following an internal purge that removed Zandile Hlophe-Mkhwanazi in favor of Apostle Mxolisi Phakathi. The IFP named Mkhuleko Hlengwa in late August, the DA selected Haniff Hoosen, ActionSA backed Zwakele Mncwango, and the EFF chose Hlengiwe Mkhaliphi, while the ANC continues weighing a shortlist that includes incumbent Cyril Xaba. Traders appear to price in coalition risks and unresolved ANC selection, leaving no single contender with a decisive edge in the market.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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