Geordin Hill-Lewis, the Democratic Alliance incumbent and party leader, holds a dominant position in the Cape Town mayoral market ahead of the 4 November local government elections. His June 2026 formal selection as the DA candidate, combined with the party’s two-decade record of metro control, underpins trader pricing. Recent polling places the DA around 46 percent—well ahead of the ANC and smaller parties—while Hill-Lewis has emphasized infrastructure spending, expanded policing powers, job creation, and densification efforts in public appearances and the 15 September SABC mayoral debate. Opposition candidates from ActionSA, GOOD, the Patriotic Alliance, EFF, and BOSA remain active but face a fragmented field that limits any single challenger’s path to a council majority or mayoral selection. No major late shifts in support or candidacy have altered the core dynamic in the past month.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ジョーダン・ヒル＝ルイス 90%
ノンタンド・ノルツング 2.6%
チェスリン・スティーンバーグ 2.3%
ロジャー・ソロモンズ 2.1%
新規
新規
2026/11/04
ジョーダン・ヒル＝ルイス
90%
ノンタンド・ノルツング
3%
チェスリン・スティーンバーグ
2%
ロジャー・ソロモンズ
2%
フィオナ・エイブラハムズ
1%
ゼルダ・タルンタール
1%
アーネスト・セロン
1%
ルヴヨ・ゾンダニ
1%
マレルディア・チョウグレイ
1%
ルワジ・パカデ
1%
デリリーン・ジェームズ
1%
エレン・パッキーズ
<1%
ジェレマイア・トゥインスマ
<1%
ンディティニ・ティヒド
<1%
ブレット・ヘロン
<1%
カリード・サイード
<1%
ジョーダン・ヒル＝ルイス 90%
ノンタンド・ノルツング 2.6%
チェスリン・スティーンバーグ 2.3%
ロジャー・ソロモンズ 2.1%
新規
新規
2026/11/04
ジョーダン・ヒル＝ルイス
$5,443 Vol.
90%
ノンタンド・ノルツング
$262 Vol.
3%
チェスリン・スティーンバーグ
$230 Vol.
2%
ロジャー・ソロモンズ
$211 Vol.
2%
フィオナ・エイブラハムズ
$221 Vol.
1%
ゼルダ・タルンタール
$175 Vol.
1%
アーネスト・セロン
$231 Vol.
1%
ルヴヨ・ゾンダニ
$175 Vol.
1%
マレルディア・チョウグレイ
$175 Vol.
1%
ルワジ・パカデ
$175 Vol.
1%
デリリーン・ジェームズ
$271 Vol.
1%
エレン・パッキーズ
$323 Vol.
<1%
ジェレマイア・トゥインスマ
$175 Vol.
<1%
ンディティニ・ティヒド
$221 Vol.
<1%
ブレット・ヘロン
$243 Vol.
<1%
カリード・サイード
$329 Vol.
<1%
Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Cape Town’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Cape Town following the 2026 South African municipal elections.
A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Cape Town City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Geordin Hill-Lewis, the Democratic Alliance incumbent and party leader, holds a dominant position in the Cape Town mayoral market ahead of the 4 November local government elections. His June 2026 formal selection as the DA candidate, combined with the party’s two-decade record of metro control, underpins trader pricing. Recent polling places the DA around 46 percent—well ahead of the ANC and smaller parties—while Hill-Lewis has emphasized infrastructure spending, expanded policing powers, job creation, and densification efforts in public appearances and the 15 September SABC mayoral debate. Opposition candidates from ActionSA, GOOD, the Patriotic Alliance, EFF, and BOSA remain active but face a fragmented field that limits any single challenger’s path to a council majority or mayoral selection. No major late shifts in support or candidacy have altered the core dynamic in the past month.
Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Cape Town’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Cape Town following the 2026 South African municipal elections.
A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Cape Town City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Cape Town following the 2026 South African municipal elections.
A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Cape Town City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Aug 18, 2026, 10:57 AM ET
音量
$8,863終了日
2026/11/18マーケット開始日
Aug 18, 2026, 10:57 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Cape Town’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Cape Town following the 2026 South African municipal elections.
A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Cape Town City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Geordin Hill-Lewis, the Democratic Alliance incumbent and party leader, holds a dominant position in the Cape Town mayoral market ahead of the 4 November local government elections. His June 2026 formal selection as the DA candidate, combined with the party’s two-decade record of metro control, underpins trader pricing. Recent polling places the DA around 46 percent—well ahead of the ANC and smaller parties—while Hill-Lewis has emphasized infrastructure spending, expanded policing powers, job creation, and densification efforts in public appearances and the 15 September SABC mayoral debate. Opposition candidates from ActionSA, GOOD, the Patriotic Alliance, EFF, and BOSA remain active but face a fragmented field that limits any single challenger’s path to a council majority or mayoral selection. No major late shifts in support or candidacy have altered the core dynamic in the past month.
Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Cape Town’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Cape Town following the 2026 South African municipal elections.
A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Cape Town City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Cape Town following the 2026 South African municipal elections.
A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Cape Town City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$8,863終了日
2026/11/18マーケット開始日
Aug 18, 2026, 10:57 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Geordin Hill-Lewis, the Democratic Alliance incumbent and party leader, holds a dominant position in the Cape Town mayoral market ahead of the 4 November local government elections. His June 2026 formal selection as the DA candidate, combined with the party’s two-decade record of metro control, underpins trader pricing. Recent polling places the DA around 46 percent—well ahead of the ANC and smaller parties—while Hill-Lewis has emphasized infrastructure spending, expanded policing powers, job creation, and densification efforts in public appearances and the 15 September SABC mayoral debate. Opposition candidates from ActionSA, GOOD, the Patriotic Alliance, EFF, and BOSA remain active but face a fragmented field that limits any single challenger’s path to a council majority or mayoral selection. No major late shifts in support or candidacy have altered the core dynamic in the past month.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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