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icon for 7月31日までに米国ではしかの症例がありますか？

7月31日までに米国ではしかの症例がありますか？

icon for 7月31日までに米国ではしかの症例がありますか？

7月31日までに米国ではしかの症例がありますか？

Ended: 7月 31

8月 31

12月 31

Ended: 7月 31

8月 31

12月 31

$64,479 Vol.

2026/07/31
Polymarket

$64,479 Vol.

Polymarket

2350

$13,116 Vol.

はい

2380

$2,142 Vol.

いいえ

2200

$9,373 Vol.

はい

2400

$18,619 Vol.

いいえ

2300

$21,230 Vol.

はい

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.Ongoing measles transmission driven by multiple large outbreaks that began in 2025 and continued into 2026, plus 37 new outbreaks this year, has pushed confirmed U.S. cases to 2,371 as of July 30, 2026, per CDC surveillance. Over 90% of cases involve unvaccinated individuals or those with unknown status, with 94% linked to outbreaks across 45 jurisdictions. This pace already exceeds the full-year 2025 total of 2,289, marking the highest annual figure since 1991. CDC data releases, typically updated weekly or on Thursdays, and any final adjustments for late-reported cases or international visitors will determine exact resolution thresholds for markets tracking cumulative counts by July 31.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.

Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
音量
$64,479
終了日
2026/07/31
マーケット開始日
Jul 14, 2026, 11:51 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.

提案された結果: はい

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: はい

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.Ongoing measles transmission driven by multiple large outbreaks that began in 2025 and continued into 2026, plus 37 new outbreaks this year, has pushed confirmed U.S. cases to 2,371 as of July 30, 2026, per CDC surveillance. Over 90% of cases involve unvaccinated individuals or those with unknown status, with 94% linked to outbreaks across 45 jurisdictions. This pace already exceeds the full-year 2025 total of 2,289, marking the highest annual figure since 1991. CDC data releases, typically updated weekly or on Thursdays, and any final adjustments for late-reported cases or international visitors will determine exact resolution thresholds for markets tracking cumulative counts by July 31.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.

Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
音量
$64,479
終了日
2026/07/31
マーケット開始日
Jul 14, 2026, 11:51 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.

提案された結果: はい

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: はい

関連

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よくある質問

「7月31日までに米国ではしかの症例がありますか？」はPolymarket上の5個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「2350」で100%、次いで「2200」が100%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「7月31日までに米国ではしかの症例がありますか？」は$64.5Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Jul 1, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「7月31日までに米国ではしかの症例がありますか？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている5個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「7月31日までに米国ではしかの症例がありますか？」の現在のフロントランナーは「2350」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「2200」で100%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「7月31日までに米国ではしかの症例がありますか？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。