Trader consensus has converged to a 100% implied probability on 12°C as Seoul's lowest temperature on May 13, anchored by official Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations recording the morning minimum—typically between 3 a.m. and 9 a.m. local time—at precisely 12°C under clear skies and light winds that minimized nocturnal cooling. This aligns with the latest short-range forecast models from ECMWF and GFS, which converged overnight on lows near 12°C amid climatological May norms averaging 12–16°C at Seoul's official station. Realistic challenges are minimal post-morning low, though an improbable late-evening drop below 12°C or a data revision in KMA's final daily summary could shift resolution; traders await the end-of-day report for confirmation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Lowest temperature in Seoul on May 13?
12°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$24,801 Vol.
$24,801 Vol.
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
Yes
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C or higher
No
12°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$24,801 Vol.
$24,801 Vol.
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
Yes
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Trader consensus has converged to a 100% implied probability on 12°C as Seoul's lowest temperature on May 13, anchored by official Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations recording the morning minimum—typically between 3 a.m. and 9 a.m. local time—at precisely 12°C under clear skies and light winds that minimized nocturnal cooling. This aligns with the latest short-range forecast models from ECMWF and GFS, which converged overnight on lows near 12°C amid climatological May norms averaging 12–16°C at Seoul's official station. Realistic challenges are minimal post-morning low, though an improbable late-evening drop below 12°C or a data revision in KMA's final daily summary could shift resolution; traders await the end-of-day report for confirmation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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