National Weather Service model consensus and ensemble runs centered the overnight low in New York City at 50–51°F on May 24, driven by persistent cloud cover that curtailed radiational cooling, light easterly winds, and the passage of a weak frontal boundary. These conditions aligned with seasonal norms for late May, where average lows hover near 55–60°F, and recent observational data from nearby stations reinforced the projected range. Trader consensus at near-100% for 50–51°F reflects this strong alignment between forecasts and surface observations. Clearer skies overnight or a sharper cold-air advection could have produced lower readings and shifted odds, though current data show no such deviation occurred.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Lowest temperature in NYC on May 24?
Lowest temperature in NYC on May 24?
50-51°F 100.0%
43°F or below <1%
44-45°F <1%
46-47°F <1%
$25,747 Vol.
$25,747 Vol.
2026/05/24
43°F or below
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
Yes
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62°F or higher
No
50-51°F 100.0%
43°F or below <1%
44-45°F <1%
46-47°F <1%
$25,747 Vol.
$25,747 Vol.
2026/05/24
43°F or below
$8,625 Vol.
No
44-45°F
$1,585 Vol.
No
46-47°F
$1,055 Vol.
No
48-49°F
$1,708 Vol.
No
50-51°F
$2,707 Vol.
Yes
52-53°F
$2,260 Vol.
No
54-55°F
$1,107 Vol.
No
56-57°F
$1,158 Vol.
No
58-59°F
$3,834 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$818 Vol.
No
62°F or higher
$891 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service model consensus and ensemble runs centered the overnight low in New York City at 50–51°F on May 24, driven by persistent cloud cover that curtailed radiational cooling, light easterly winds, and the passage of a weak frontal boundary. These conditions aligned with seasonal norms for late May, where average lows hover near 55–60°F, and recent observational data from nearby stations reinforced the projected range. Trader consensus at near-100% for 50–51°F reflects this strong alignment between forecasts and surface observations. Clearer skies overnight or a sharper cold-air advection could have produced lower readings and shifted odds, though current data show no such deviation occurred.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 20, 2026, 12:40 AM ET
音量
$25,747終了日
2026/05/24マーケット開始日
May 20, 2026, 12:40 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service model consensus and ensemble runs centered the overnight low in New York City at 50–51°F on May 24, driven by persistent cloud cover that curtailed radiational cooling, light easterly winds, and the passage of a weak frontal boundary. These conditions aligned with seasonal norms for late May, where average lows hover near 55–60°F, and recent observational data from nearby stations reinforced the projected range. Trader consensus at near-100% for 50–51°F reflects this strong alignment between forecasts and surface observations. Clearer skies overnight or a sharper cold-air advection could have produced lower readings and shifted odds, though current data show no such deviation occurred.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$25,747終了日
2026/05/24マーケット開始日
May 20, 2026, 12:40 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
National Weather Service model consensus and ensemble runs centered the overnight low in New York City at 50–51°F on May 24, driven by persistent cloud cover that curtailed radiational cooling, light easterly winds, and the passage of a weak frontal boundary. These conditions aligned with seasonal norms for late May, where average lows hover near 55–60°F, and recent observational data from nearby stations reinforced the projected range. Trader consensus at near-100% for 50–51°F reflects this strong alignment between forecasts and surface observations. Clearer skies overnight or a sharper cold-air advection could have produced lower readings and shifted odds, though current data show no such deviation occurred.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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