Official recordings from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a minimum temperature of 28°C on August 8, 2026, driving the market's near-certain 100% implied probability for that outcome. August climatology in subtropical Hong Kong typically features overnight lows of 26–28°C under prevailing monsoon conditions and urban heat island effects, with recent seasonal forecasts indicating normal to above-normal temperatures through the month. Trader consensus reflects verified observational data rather than models, as post-event verification eliminates forecast uncertainty. Only an unprecedented instrumentation error or localized microclimate anomaly at the official site could realistically alter resolution, though such scenarios remain statistically negligible given established monitoring protocols.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月8日の香港の最低気温は？
8月8日の香港の最低気温は？
28℃ 100.0%
22°C以下 <1%
23℃ <1%
24°C <1%
$104,225 Vol.
$104,225 Vol.
2026/08/08
22°C以下
いいえ
23℃
いいえ
24°C
いいえ
25℃
いいえ
26℃
いいえ
27°C
いいえ
28℃
はい
29℃
いいえ
30℃
いいえ
31℃
いいえ
32°C以上
いいえ
28℃ 100.0%
22°C以下 <1%
23℃ <1%
24°C <1%
$104,225 Vol.
$104,225 Vol.
2026/08/08
22°C以下
$636 Vol.
いいえ
23℃
$1,256 Vol.
いいえ
24°C
$4,298 Vol.
いいえ
25℃
$11,620 Vol.
いいえ
26℃
$6,955 Vol.
いいえ
27°C
$16,235 Vol.
いいえ
28℃
$29,034 Vol.
はい
29℃
$27,221 Vol.
いいえ
30℃
$5,393 Vol.
いいえ
31℃
$938 Vol.
いいえ
32°C以上
$641 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official recordings from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a minimum temperature of 28°C on August 8, 2026, driving the market's near-certain 100% implied probability for that outcome. August climatology in subtropical Hong Kong typically features overnight lows of 26–28°C under prevailing monsoon conditions and urban heat island effects, with recent seasonal forecasts indicating normal to above-normal temperatures through the month. Trader consensus reflects verified observational data rather than models, as post-event verification eliminates forecast uncertainty. Only an unprecedented instrumentation error or localized microclimate anomaly at the official site could realistically alter resolution, though such scenarios remain statistically negligible given established monitoring protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$104,225終了日
2026/08/08マーケット開始日
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official recordings from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a minimum temperature of 28°C on August 8, 2026, driving the market's near-certain 100% implied probability for that outcome. August climatology in subtropical Hong Kong typically features overnight lows of 26–28°C under prevailing monsoon conditions and urban heat island effects, with recent seasonal forecasts indicating normal to above-normal temperatures through the month. Trader consensus reflects verified observational data rather than models, as post-event verification eliminates forecast uncertainty. Only an unprecedented instrumentation error or localized microclimate anomaly at the official site could realistically alter resolution, though such scenarios remain statistically negligible given established monitoring protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$104,225終了日
2026/08/08マーケット開始日
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Official recordings from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a minimum temperature of 28°C on August 8, 2026, driving the market's near-certain 100% implied probability for that outcome. August climatology in subtropical Hong Kong typically features overnight lows of 26–28°C under prevailing monsoon conditions and urban heat island effects, with recent seasonal forecasts indicating normal to above-normal temperatures through the month. Trader consensus reflects verified observational data rather than models, as post-event verification eliminates forecast uncertainty. Only an unprecedented instrumentation error or localized microclimate anomaly at the official site could realistically alter resolution, though such scenarios remain statistically negligible given established monitoring protocols.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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