**The primary driver of trader sentiment on Lisa Cook's status as Federal Reserve governor remains the ongoing litigation over President Trump's August 2025 attempt to remove her "for cause" under the Federal Reserve Act, centered on unproven 2021 mortgage fraud allegations she has denied.** The Supreme Court's 5-4 June 29, 2026, ruling upheld procedural protections, allowing Cook to remain in her 14-year term (expiring 2038) while lower courts adjudicate, reinforcing the central bank's independence from at-will presidential removal. The administration restarted the process in early August 2026 with formal notice requiring a response by August 26; Cook's counsel replied that any designation error was inadvertent and yielded no preferential loan terms, with no criminal charges filed. Market-implied odds price in low near-term removal probability given these judicial checks and the Fed's structural safeguards, though continued White House pressure or adverse rulings could shift timelines ahead of key FOMC meetings.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$17,027 Vol.
2026/09/30
9月30日
1%
10月31日
2%
11月30日
6%
12月31日
7%
$17,027 Vol.
9月30日
$7,851 Vol.
1%
10月31日
$6,227 Vol.
2%
11月30日
$1,136 Vol.
6%
12月31日
$1,813 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.**The primary driver of trader sentiment on Lisa Cook's status as Federal Reserve governor remains the ongoing litigation over President Trump's August 2025 attempt to remove her "for cause" under the Federal Reserve Act, centered on unproven 2021 mortgage fraud allegations she has denied.** The Supreme Court's 5-4 June 29, 2026, ruling upheld procedural protections, allowing Cook to remain in her 14-year term (expiring 2038) while lower courts adjudicate, reinforcing the central bank's independence from at-will presidential removal. The administration restarted the process in early August 2026 with formal notice requiring a response by August 26; Cook's counsel replied that any designation error was inadvertent and yielded no preferential loan terms, with no criminal charges filed. Market-implied odds price in low near-term removal probability given these judicial checks and the Fed's structural safeguards, though continued White House pressure or adverse rulings could shift timelines ahead of key FOMC meetings.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
マーケット開始日： Aug 7, 2026, 5:51 PM ET
音量
$17,027終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Aug 7, 2026, 5:51 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.**The primary driver of trader sentiment on Lisa Cook's status as Federal Reserve governor remains the ongoing litigation over President Trump's August 2025 attempt to remove her "for cause" under the Federal Reserve Act, centered on unproven 2021 mortgage fraud allegations she has denied.** The Supreme Court's 5-4 June 29, 2026, ruling upheld procedural protections, allowing Cook to remain in her 14-year term (expiring 2038) while lower courts adjudicate, reinforcing the central bank's independence from at-will presidential removal. The administration restarted the process in early August 2026 with formal notice requiring a response by August 26; Cook's counsel replied that any designation error was inadvertent and yielded no preferential loan terms, with no criminal charges filed. Market-implied odds price in low near-term removal probability given these judicial checks and the Fed's structural safeguards, though continued White House pressure or adverse rulings could shift timelines ahead of key FOMC meetings.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
音量
$17,027終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Aug 7, 2026, 5:51 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...**The primary driver of trader sentiment on Lisa Cook's status as Federal Reserve governor remains the ongoing litigation over President Trump's August 2025 attempt to remove her "for cause" under the Federal Reserve Act, centered on unproven 2021 mortgage fraud allegations she has denied.** The Supreme Court's 5-4 June 29, 2026, ruling upheld procedural protections, allowing Cook to remain in her 14-year term (expiring 2038) while lower courts adjudicate, reinforcing the central bank's independence from at-will presidential removal. The administration restarted the process in early August 2026 with formal notice requiring a response by August 26; Cook's counsel replied that any designation error was inadvertent and yielded no preferential loan terms, with no criminal charges filed. Market-implied odds price in low near-term removal probability given these judicial checks and the Fed's structural safeguards, though continued White House pressure or adverse rulings could shift timelines ahead of key FOMC meetings.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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