Recent monthly Japan core CPI readings, excluding fresh food, have held steady near 1.8% year-over-year through July 2026, with August expected to match that pace per economist surveys, reflecting government energy subsidies that have offset upward pressure from elevated oil prices tied to Middle East tensions and a weaker yen. These factors, alongside moderating food price gains and policy measures such as electricity and gas bill support, have kept inflation below the Bank of Japan’s 2% target for multiple consecutive months while wholesale prices remain elevated. Trader consensus in the closely balanced ≤1.9% and 2.0-2.4% buckets for the 2026 figure aligns with this trajectory and baseline forecasts around 1.8%, though upcoming national releases and any shifts in BoJ communications or yen dynamics could influence the final annual outcome amid persistent underlying wage-driven service price pressures.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日1.9％以下 50.4%
2.0-2.4% 46%
2.5〜2.9% 1.5%
3.0-3.4% <1%
$40,689 Vol.
$40,689 Vol.
2027/01/22
1.9％以下
50%
2.0-2.4%
46%
2.5〜2.9%
2%
3.0-3.4%
<1%
3.5〜3.9％
<1%
4.0%+
<1%
1.9％以下 50.4%
2.0-2.4% 46%
2.5〜2.9% 1.5%
3.0-3.4% <1%
$40,689 Vol.
$40,689 Vol.
2027/01/22
1.9％以下
$19,302 Vol.
50%
2.0-2.4%
$11,374 Vol.
46%
2.5〜2.9%
$5,548 Vol.
2%
3.0-3.4%
$1,661 Vol.
<1%
3.5〜3.9％
$1,253 Vol.
<1%
4.0%+
$1,551 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food (All items less fresh food, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Recent monthly Japan core CPI readings, excluding fresh food, have held steady near 1.8% year-over-year through July 2026, with August expected to match that pace per economist surveys, reflecting government energy subsidies that have offset upward pressure from elevated oil prices tied to Middle East tensions and a weaker yen. These factors, alongside moderating food price gains and policy measures such as electricity and gas bill support, have kept inflation below the Bank of Japan’s 2% target for multiple consecutive months while wholesale prices remain elevated. Trader consensus in the closely balanced ≤1.9% and 2.0-2.4% buckets for the 2026 figure aligns with this trajectory and baseline forecasts around 1.8%, though upcoming national releases and any shifts in BoJ communications or yen dynamics could influence the final annual outcome amid persistent underlying wage-driven service price pressures.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food (All items less fresh food, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
マーケット開始日： Jun 17, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
音量
$40,689終了日
2027/01/22マーケット開始日
Jun 17, 2026, 7:25 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food (All items less fresh food, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Recent monthly Japan core CPI readings, excluding fresh food, have held steady near 1.8% year-over-year through July 2026, with August expected to match that pace per economist surveys, reflecting government energy subsidies that have offset upward pressure from elevated oil prices tied to Middle East tensions and a weaker yen. These factors, alongside moderating food price gains and policy measures such as electricity and gas bill support, have kept inflation below the Bank of Japan’s 2% target for multiple consecutive months while wholesale prices remain elevated. Trader consensus in the closely balanced ≤1.9% and 2.0-2.4% buckets for the 2026 figure aligns with this trajectory and baseline forecasts around 1.8%, though upcoming national releases and any shifts in BoJ communications or yen dynamics could influence the final annual outcome amid persistent underlying wage-driven service price pressures.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food (All items less fresh food, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
音量
$40,689終了日
2027/01/22マーケット開始日
Jun 17, 2026, 7:25 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent monthly Japan core CPI readings, excluding fresh food, have held steady near 1.8% year-over-year through July 2026, with August expected to match that pace per economist surveys, reflecting government energy subsidies that have offset upward pressure from elevated oil prices tied to Middle East tensions and a weaker yen. These factors, alongside moderating food price gains and policy measures such as electricity and gas bill support, have kept inflation below the Bank of Japan’s 2% target for multiple consecutive months while wholesale prices remain elevated. Trader consensus in the closely balanced ≤1.9% and 2.0-2.4% buckets for the 2026 figure aligns with this trajectory and baseline forecasts around 1.8%, though upcoming national releases and any shifts in BoJ communications or yen dynamics could influence the final annual outcome amid persistent underlying wage-driven service price pressures.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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