Ongoing U.S.-mediated talks between Israel and the Lebanese government, including a June 2026 trilateral framework agreement calling for Hezbollah disarmament and Israeli withdrawals from southern Lebanon, have produced multiple rounds in Washington and Rome without direct Hezbollah participation. Hezbollah has rejected the disarmament provisions and criticized the process, while periodic ceasefire violations, including recent strikes following incidents in southern Lebanon, continue to complicate implementation. These dynamics, alongside Lebanese army deployment in limited withdrawal zones, shape trader assessments of prospects for a formal diplomatic meeting between Israeli officials and Hezbollah representatives by any near-term deadline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$93,800 Vol.
2026/07/30
8月31日
1%
$93,800 Vol.
8月31日
$86,434 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing U.S.-mediated talks between Israel and the Lebanese government, including a June 2026 trilateral framework agreement calling for Hezbollah disarmament and Israeli withdrawals from southern Lebanon, have produced multiple rounds in Washington and Rome without direct Hezbollah participation. Hezbollah has rejected the disarmament provisions and criticized the process, while periodic ceasefire violations, including recent strikes following incidents in southern Lebanon, continue to complicate implementation. These dynamics, alongside Lebanese army deployment in limited withdrawal zones, shape trader assessments of prospects for a formal diplomatic meeting between Israeli officials and Hezbollah representatives by any near-term deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Jul 7, 2026, 7:35 PM ET
音量
$93,800終了日
2026/08/31マーケット開始日
Jul 7, 2026, 7:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing U.S.-mediated talks between Israel and the Lebanese government, including a June 2026 trilateral framework agreement calling for Hezbollah disarmament and Israeli withdrawals from southern Lebanon, have produced multiple rounds in Washington and Rome without direct Hezbollah participation. Hezbollah has rejected the disarmament provisions and criticized the process, while periodic ceasefire violations, including recent strikes following incidents in southern Lebanon, continue to complicate implementation. These dynamics, alongside Lebanese army deployment in limited withdrawal zones, shape trader assessments of prospects for a formal diplomatic meeting between Israeli officials and Hezbollah representatives by any near-term deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$93,800終了日
2026/08/31マーケット開始日
Jul 7, 2026, 7:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing U.S.-mediated talks between Israel and the Lebanese government, including a June 2026 trilateral framework agreement calling for Hezbollah disarmament and Israeli withdrawals from southern Lebanon, have produced multiple rounds in Washington and Rome without direct Hezbollah participation. Hezbollah has rejected the disarmament provisions and criticized the process, while periodic ceasefire violations, including recent strikes following incidents in southern Lebanon, continue to complicate implementation. These dynamics, alongside Lebanese army deployment in limited withdrawal zones, shape trader assessments of prospects for a formal diplomatic meeting between Israeli officials and Hezbollah representatives by any near-term deadline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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