Recent polling averages place Otzma Yehudit, led by Itamar Ben-Gvir, in the 7–9 seat range for the October 27 Knesset election, aligning with the tight trader distribution across 6–7, 8–9, and 10+ outcomes. The party’s independent run after prior alliances, combined with Netanyahu’s recent statements limiting its cabinet influence, has introduced uncertainty over right-wing bloc cohesion and voter consolidation. Ongoing competition within the pro-Netanyahu camp, alongside broader bloc deadlock and threshold dynamics for smaller lists, sustains volatility in final seat projections. Late shifts in turnout or last-minute positioning could separate the ranges before voting concludes.