Recent Israeli election polls place the Joint List (Hadash-Ta'al-Balad) in the 7–9 seat range, with polling averages around 7.5–8 seats ahead of the October 27 vote. This positioning reflects steady Arab voter turnout trends and the alliance’s consistent performance across multiple pollsters, separate from Ra’am’s projected 5 seats. Attempts to disqualify Arab lists have drawn public support in some surveys but remain unresolved pending Supreme Court review, introducing limited uncertainty without shifting the current seat projections. Traders’ consensus around 6–7 or 8–9 seats aligns with these stable polling figures and the 3.25% electoral threshold dynamics.