Negotiations between the United States and Iran produced a tentative memorandum of understanding in late May focused on a temporary ceasefire extension, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, and sanctions relief, yet explicitly deferred detailed talks on uranium enrichment limits and the fate of Iran's highly enriched uranium stockpile to a subsequent 60-day period. Iranian officials publicly stated that nuclear commitments were not part of the preliminary agreement and remained subject to further bargaining, while the International Atomic Energy Agency reported record stockpiles as of May 31. These developments left no public Iranian commitment to end enrichment by the deadline, aligning with trader consensus that the specified outcome did not occur. Future diplomatic steps could still influence longer-term nuclear discussions, though resolution of this market hinges on the absence of any qualifying agreement by the cutoff.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$1,565,439 Vol.
$1,565,439 Vol.
2026/05/31
はい
$1,565,439 Vol.
$1,565,439 Vol.
2026/05/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Negotiations between the United States and Iran produced a tentative memorandum of understanding in late May focused on a temporary ceasefire extension, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, and sanctions relief, yet explicitly deferred detailed talks on uranium enrichment limits and the fate of Iran's highly enriched uranium stockpile to a subsequent 60-day period. Iranian officials publicly stated that nuclear commitments were not part of the preliminary agreement and remained subject to further bargaining, while the International Atomic Energy Agency reported record stockpiles as of May 31. These developments left no public Iranian commitment to end enrichment by the deadline, aligning with trader consensus that the specified outcome did not occur. Future diplomatic steps could still influence longer-term nuclear discussions, though resolution of this market hinges on the absence of any qualifying agreement by the cutoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Apr 28, 2026, 10:39 PM ET
音量
$1,565,439終了日
2026/05/31マーケット開始日
Apr 28, 2026, 10:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Negotiations between the United States and Iran produced a tentative memorandum of understanding in late May focused on a temporary ceasefire extension, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, and sanctions relief, yet explicitly deferred detailed talks on uranium enrichment limits and the fate of Iran's highly enriched uranium stockpile to a subsequent 60-day period. Iranian officials publicly stated that nuclear commitments were not part of the preliminary agreement and remained subject to further bargaining, while the International Atomic Energy Agency reported record stockpiles as of May 31. These developments left no public Iranian commitment to end enrichment by the deadline, aligning with trader consensus that the specified outcome did not occur. Future diplomatic steps could still influence longer-term nuclear discussions, though resolution of this market hinges on the absence of any qualifying agreement by the cutoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$1,565,439終了日
2026/05/31マーケット開始日
Apr 28, 2026, 10:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Negotiations between the United States and Iran produced a tentative memorandum of understanding in late May focused on a temporary ceasefire extension, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, and sanctions relief, yet explicitly deferred detailed talks on uranium enrichment limits and the fate of Iran's highly enriched uranium stockpile to a subsequent 60-day period. Iranian officials publicly stated that nuclear commitments were not part of the preliminary agreement and remained subject to further bargaining, while the International Atomic Energy Agency reported record stockpiles as of May 31. These developments left no public Iranian commitment to end enrichment by the deadline, aligning with trader consensus that the specified outcome did not occur. Future diplomatic steps could still influence longer-term nuclear discussions, though resolution of this market hinges on the absence of any qualifying agreement by the cutoff.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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