Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 80+ ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz during April 13-19, driven by IMF Portwatch data confirming the weekly total surpassed this threshold amid partial traffic recovery. Ongoing US-Iran hostilities since late February 2026—marked by blockades, vessel seizures, attacks on commercial shipping, GPS jamming, and AIS spoofing—had slashed daily transits from pre-conflict averages of 130 vessels to as few as 6-14 earlier in April. However, a brief ceasefire around April 17-19 prompted a surge, with reports of 20+ vessels attempting passage on April 17 and 35 crossing on April 19, elevating the week's tally. Late-breaking revisions to IMF data prior to final publication could theoretically challenge this, though market rules disregard post-final adjustments, cementing the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日今週、ホルムズ海峡を通過する船は何隻ですか？ （ 4月13日～ 19日）
今週、ホルムズ海峡を通過する船は何隻ですか？ （ 4月13日～ 19日）
80以上 100.0%
10未満 <1%
10-19 <1%
20～29 <1%
$273,534 Vol.
$273,534 Vol.
2026/04/19
10未満
いいえ
10-19
いいえ
20～29
いいえ
30～39
いいえ
40～49
いいえ
50〜59
いいえ
60～69
いいえ
70～79
いいえ
80以上
はい
80以上 100.0%
10未満 <1%
10-19 <1%
20～29 <1%
$273,534 Vol.
$273,534 Vol.
2026/04/19
10未満
$17,369 Vol.
いいえ
10-19
$17,228 Vol.
いいえ
20～29
$10,519 Vol.
いいえ
30～39
$11,012 Vol.
いいえ
40～49
$12,352 Vol.
いいえ
50〜59
$9,795 Vol.
いいえ
60～69
$9,615 Vol.
いいえ
70～79
$11,668 Vol.
いいえ
80以上
$173,977 Vol.
はい
This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from April 13, 2026, through April 19, 2026, inclusive.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 80+ ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz during April 13-19, driven by IMF Portwatch data confirming the weekly total surpassed this threshold amid partial traffic recovery. Ongoing US-Iran hostilities since late February 2026—marked by blockades, vessel seizures, attacks on commercial shipping, GPS jamming, and AIS spoofing—had slashed daily transits from pre-conflict averages of 130 vessels to as few as 6-14 earlier in April. However, a brief ceasefire around April 17-19 prompted a surge, with reports of 20+ vessels attempting passage on April 17 and 35 crossing on April 19, elevating the week's tally. Late-breaking revisions to IMF data prior to final publication could theoretically challenge this, though market rules disregard post-final adjustments, cementing the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from April 13, 2026, through April 19, 2026, inclusive.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
マーケット開始日： Apr 13, 2026, 3:37 PM ET
音量
$273,534終了日
2026/04/19マーケット開始日
Apr 13, 2026, 3:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from April 13, 2026, through April 19, 2026, inclusive.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 80+ ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz during April 13-19, driven by IMF Portwatch data confirming the weekly total surpassed this threshold amid partial traffic recovery. Ongoing US-Iran hostilities since late February 2026—marked by blockades, vessel seizures, attacks on commercial shipping, GPS jamming, and AIS spoofing—had slashed daily transits from pre-conflict averages of 130 vessels to as few as 6-14 earlier in April. However, a brief ceasefire around April 17-19 prompted a surge, with reports of 20+ vessels attempting passage on April 17 and 35 crossing on April 19, elevating the week's tally. Late-breaking revisions to IMF data prior to final publication could theoretically challenge this, though market rules disregard post-final adjustments, cementing the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from April 13, 2026, through April 19, 2026, inclusive.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
音量
$273,534終了日
2026/04/19マーケット開始日
Apr 13, 2026, 3:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 80+ ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz during April 13-19, driven by IMF Portwatch data confirming the weekly total surpassed this threshold amid partial traffic recovery. Ongoing US-Iran hostilities since late February 2026—marked by blockades, vessel seizures, attacks on commercial shipping, GPS jamming, and AIS spoofing—had slashed daily transits from pre-conflict averages of 130 vessels to as few as 6-14 earlier in April. However, a brief ceasefire around April 17-19 prompted a surge, with reports of 20+ vessels attempting passage on April 17 and 35 crossing on April 19, elevating the week's tally. Late-breaking revisions to IMF data prior to final publication could theoretically challenge this, though market rules disregard post-final adjustments, cementing the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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