The August 2026 employment report, released September 4, drove the market's overwhelming 150k+ consensus as total nonfarm payrolls rose 162,000—well above the 53k–65k economist consensus—marking the strongest gain in five months after a revised July decline. Gains concentrated in leisure and hospitality (59,000 in food services and drinking places) and local government education (42,000), with manufacturing adding 16,000, while the unemployment rate held at 4.1%. Wage growth remained moderate at 3.1% year-over-year. This outcome aligns with a stable labor market narrative amid mixed prior data, though downward revisions to the headline or components could theoretically shift resolution if material enough to breach the 150k threshold.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日15万人以上 100.0%
-5万人 <1%
-5万～0 <1%
0〜5万人 <1%
$75,604 Vol.
$75,604 Vol.
2026/09/04
-5万人
いいえ
-5万～0
いいえ
0〜5万人
いいえ
5万～10万
いいえ
10万～15万
いいえ
15万人以上
はい
15万人以上 100.0%
-5万人 <1%
-5万～0 <1%
0〜5万人 <1%
$75,604 Vol.
$75,604 Vol.
2026/09/04
-5万人
$9,871 Vol.
いいえ
-5万～0
$12,299 Vol.
いいえ
0〜5万人
$30,532 Vol.
いいえ
5万～10万
$10,494 Vol.
いいえ
10万～15万
$5,993 Vol.
いいえ
15万人以上
$6,415 Vol.
はい
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for August 2026, scheduled to be released on September 4, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmThe August 2026 employment report, released September 4, drove the market's overwhelming 150k+ consensus as total nonfarm payrolls rose 162,000—well above the 53k–65k economist consensus—marking the strongest gain in five months after a revised July decline. Gains concentrated in leisure and hospitality (59,000 in food services and drinking places) and local government education (42,000), with manufacturing adding 16,000, while the unemployment rate held at 4.1%. Wage growth remained moderate at 3.1% year-over-year. This outcome aligns with a stable labor market narrative amid mixed prior data, though downward revisions to the headline or components could theoretically shift resolution if material enough to breach the 150k threshold.
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for August 2026, scheduled to be released on September 4, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
マーケット開始日： Aug 7, 2026, 1:07 PM ET
音量
$75,604終了日
2026/09/05マーケット開始日
Aug 7, 2026, 1:07 PM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for August 2026, scheduled to be released on September 4, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmThe August 2026 employment report, released September 4, drove the market's overwhelming 150k+ consensus as total nonfarm payrolls rose 162,000—well above the 53k–65k economist consensus—marking the strongest gain in five months after a revised July decline. Gains concentrated in leisure and hospitality (59,000 in food services and drinking places) and local government education (42,000), with manufacturing adding 16,000, while the unemployment rate held at 4.1%. Wage growth remained moderate at 3.1% year-over-year. This outcome aligns with a stable labor market narrative amid mixed prior data, though downward revisions to the headline or components could theoretically shift resolution if material enough to breach the 150k threshold.
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for August 2026, scheduled to be released on September 4, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
音量
$75,604終了日
2026/09/05マーケット開始日
Aug 7, 2026, 1:07 PM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
The August 2026 employment report, released September 4, drove the market's overwhelming 150k+ consensus as total nonfarm payrolls rose 162,000—well above the 53k–65k economist consensus—marking the strongest gain in five months after a revised July decline. Gains concentrated in leisure and hospitality (59,000 in food services and drinking places) and local government education (42,000), with manufacturing adding 16,000, while the unemployment rate held at 4.1%. Wage growth remained moderate at 3.1% year-over-year. This outcome aligns with a stable labor market narrative amid mixed prior data, though downward revisions to the headline or components could theoretically shift resolution if material enough to breach the 150k threshold.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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