Persistent inflation above the Fed’s 2% target, with July 2026 core PCE at 3.3% year-over-year and headline measures near 3.7%, combined with a stable labor market near 4.1% unemployment, underpins the tight clustering of Polymarket odds around two to three dissents at the January 2027 FOMC meeting. Recent divisions, including the 9-3 July vote where three regional presidents favored a 25 basis point hike, illustrate splits between hawks prioritizing price stability and those favoring patience under Chair Warsh. Market-implied probabilities remain closely contested because incoming September inflation data, labor reports, and any shift in energy prices from geopolitical factors could tip consensus either toward broader agreement on holding the 3.50-3.75% funds rate or renewed hawkish pushback.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日1月のFRB会合では何人が反対していますか？
1月のFRB会合では何人が反対していますか？
3 29%
2 21%
1 19%
0 19%
新規
新規
2027/01/27
0
19%
1
19%
2
21%
3
29%
4人以上
15%
3 29%
2 21%
1 19%
0 19%
新規
新規
2027/01/27
0
$1,253 Vol.
19%
1
$508 Vol.
19%
2
$338 Vol.
21%
3
$7,256 Vol.
29%
4人以上
$498 Vol.
15%
The January Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for January 26-27, 2027. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on January 27, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Persistent inflation above the Fed’s 2% target, with July 2026 core PCE at 3.3% year-over-year and headline measures near 3.7%, combined with a stable labor market near 4.1% unemployment, underpins the tight clustering of Polymarket odds around two to three dissents at the January 2027 FOMC meeting. Recent divisions, including the 9-3 July vote where three regional presidents favored a 25 basis point hike, illustrate splits between hawks prioritizing price stability and those favoring patience under Chair Warsh. Market-implied probabilities remain closely contested because incoming September inflation data, labor reports, and any shift in energy prices from geopolitical factors could tip consensus either toward broader agreement on holding the 3.50-3.75% funds rate or renewed hawkish pushback.
The January Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for January 26-27, 2027. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on January 27, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jul 31, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
音量
$9,853終了日
2027/01/27マーケット開始日
Jul 31, 2026, 5:33 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The January Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for January 26-27, 2027. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on January 27, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Persistent inflation above the Fed’s 2% target, with July 2026 core PCE at 3.3% year-over-year and headline measures near 3.7%, combined with a stable labor market near 4.1% unemployment, underpins the tight clustering of Polymarket odds around two to three dissents at the January 2027 FOMC meeting. Recent divisions, including the 9-3 July vote where three regional presidents favored a 25 basis point hike, illustrate splits between hawks prioritizing price stability and those favoring patience under Chair Warsh. Market-implied probabilities remain closely contested because incoming September inflation data, labor reports, and any shift in energy prices from geopolitical factors could tip consensus either toward broader agreement on holding the 3.50-3.75% funds rate or renewed hawkish pushback.
The January Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for January 26-27, 2027. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on January 27, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$9,853終了日
2027/01/27マーケット開始日
Jul 31, 2026, 5:33 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Persistent inflation above the Fed’s 2% target, with July 2026 core PCE at 3.3% year-over-year and headline measures near 3.7%, combined with a stable labor market near 4.1% unemployment, underpins the tight clustering of Polymarket odds around two to three dissents at the January 2027 FOMC meeting. Recent divisions, including the 9-3 July vote where three regional presidents favored a 25 basis point hike, illustrate splits between hawks prioritizing price stability and those favoring patience under Chair Warsh. Market-implied probabilities remain closely contested because incoming September inflation data, labor reports, and any shift in energy prices from geopolitical factors could tip consensus either toward broader agreement on holding the 3.50-3.75% funds rate or renewed hawkish pushback.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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