**Trader sentiment on the number of dissents at the December 8-9, 2026 FOMC meeting remains evenly distributed across two to four or more, reflecting deep uncertainty in the policy outlook amid persistent inflation pressures.** The current 3.50–3.75% federal funds target range follows a July 9-3 hold vote, with three members dissenting in favor of a 25-basis-point hike, and recent data show headline PCE near 3.6% and core measures above 3% due to energy shocks and tariffs. Solid labor-market readings and a higher median dot-plot projection for year-end rates have widened dispersion among participants, while the September 15-16 meeting—with its updated Summary of Economic Projections—will likely set the tone for December. Upcoming CPI, employment, and any geopolitical developments through November remain key swing factors that could either consolidate a hawkish consensus or expand the minority pushing for tighter policy. Market-implied odds capture this contested environment, where real capital at risk aggregates views on how many of the 12 voters will break from the eventual majority decision.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?
How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?
2 23.9%
3 24%
4+ 22%
0 18%
新規
新規
2026/12/09
0
18%
1
17%
2
24%
3
24%
4+
22%
2 23.9%
3 24%
4+ 22%
0 18%
新規
新規
2026/12/09
0
$6,210 Vol.
18%
1
$414 Vol.
17%
2
$223 Vol.
24%
3
$260 Vol.
24%
4+
$253 Vol.
22%
The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Trader sentiment on the number of dissents at the December 8-9, 2026 FOMC meeting remains evenly distributed across two to four or more, reflecting deep uncertainty in the policy outlook amid persistent inflation pressures.**
The current 3.50–3.75% federal funds target range follows a July 9-3 hold vote, with three members dissenting in favor of a 25-basis-point hike, and recent data show headline PCE near 3.6% and core measures above 3% due to energy shocks and tariffs. Solid labor-market readings and a higher median dot-plot projection for year-end rates have widened dispersion among participants, while the September 15-16 meeting—with its updated Summary of Economic Projections—will likely set the tone for December. Upcoming CPI, employment, and any geopolitical developments through November remain key swing factors that could either consolidate a hawkish consensus or expand the minority pushing for tighter policy. Market-implied odds capture this contested environment, where real capital at risk aggregates views on how many of the 12 voters will break from the eventual majority decision.
The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jul 29, 2026, 8:43 PM ET
音量
$7,360終了日
2026/12/09マーケット開始日
Jul 29, 2026, 8:43 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Trader sentiment on the number of dissents at the December 8-9, 2026 FOMC meeting remains evenly distributed across two to four or more, reflecting deep uncertainty in the policy outlook amid persistent inflation pressures.**
The current 3.50–3.75% federal funds target range follows a July 9-3 hold vote, with three members dissenting in favor of a 25-basis-point hike, and recent data show headline PCE near 3.6% and core measures above 3% due to energy shocks and tariffs. Solid labor-market readings and a higher median dot-plot projection for year-end rates have widened dispersion among participants, while the September 15-16 meeting—with its updated Summary of Economic Projections—will likely set the tone for December. Upcoming CPI, employment, and any geopolitical developments through November remain key swing factors that could either consolidate a hawkish consensus or expand the minority pushing for tighter policy. Market-implied odds capture this contested environment, where real capital at risk aggregates views on how many of the 12 voters will break from the eventual majority decision.
The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$7,360終了日
2026/12/09マーケット開始日
Jul 29, 2026, 8:43 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment on the number of dissents at the December 8-9, 2026 FOMC meeting remains evenly distributed across two to four or more, reflecting deep uncertainty in the policy outlook amid persistent inflation pressures.** The current 3.50–3.75% federal funds target range follows a July 9-3 hold vote, with three members dissenting in favor of a 25-basis-point hike, and recent data show headline PCE near 3.6% and core measures above 3% due to energy shocks and tariffs. Solid labor-market readings and a higher median dot-plot projection for year-end rates have widened dispersion among participants, while the September 15-16 meeting—with its updated Summary of Economic Projections—will likely set the tone for December. Upcoming CPI, employment, and any geopolitical developments through November remain key swing factors that could either consolidate a hawkish consensus or expand the minority pushing for tighter policy. Market-implied odds capture this contested environment, where real capital at risk aggregates views on how many of the 12 voters will break from the eventual majority decision.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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