**USGS real-time earthquake catalog confirms zero magnitude 6.5 or greater events worldwide from April 13-19, 2026, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for zero occurrences.** The largest quake in that period was a M5.7 shallow event 20 km east-southeast of Silver Springs, Nevada, on April 14, followed by smaller tremors like M5.5 in the Carlsberg Ridge on April 18—none reaching the 6.5 threshold per moment magnitude (mww) scale. Globally, M6.5+ quakes average roughly one per week based on historical USGS data spanning active fault systems like the Pacific Ring of Fire, but seismic quietude prevailed here amid typical variability. Rare post-event magnitude revisions by USGS analysts could theoretically challenge this, though final reviewed catalogs rarely shift beyond 0.2 units after initial reports. Traders await official closure of the monitoring window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日4月13日～ 19日に6.5以上の地震は何回ありますか？
4月13日～ 19日に6.5以上の地震は何回ありますか？
0 100.0%
1 <1%
2 <1%
3 <1%
$85,787 Vol.
$85,787 Vol.
2026/04/19
0
はい
1
いいえ
2
いいえ
3
いいえ
4
いいえ
5
いいえ
5超
いいえ
0 100.0%
1 <1%
2 <1%
3 <1%
$85,787 Vol.
$85,787 Vol.
2026/04/19
0
$34,733 Vol.
はい
1
$15,971 Vol.
いいえ
2
$10,767 Vol.
いいえ
3
$7,719 Vol.
いいえ
4
$8,810 Vol.
いいえ
5
$3,590 Vol.
いいえ
5超
$4,196 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between April 13, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.**USGS real-time earthquake catalog confirms zero magnitude 6.5 or greater events worldwide from April 13-19, 2026, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for zero occurrences.** The largest quake in that period was a M5.7 shallow event 20 km east-southeast of Silver Springs, Nevada, on April 14, followed by smaller tremors like M5.5 in the Carlsberg Ridge on April 18—none reaching the 6.5 threshold per moment magnitude (mww) scale. Globally, M6.5+ quakes average roughly one per week based on historical USGS data spanning active fault systems like the Pacific Ring of Fire, but seismic quietude prevailed here amid typical variability. Rare post-event magnitude revisions by USGS analysts could theoretically challenge this, though final reviewed catalogs rarely shift beyond 0.2 units after initial reports. Traders await official closure of the monitoring window.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between April 13, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
マーケット開始日： Apr 10, 2026, 4:24 PM ET
音量
$85,787終了日
2026/04/19マーケット開始日
Apr 10, 2026, 4:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: はい
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: はい
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between April 13, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.**USGS real-time earthquake catalog confirms zero magnitude 6.5 or greater events worldwide from April 13-19, 2026, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for zero occurrences.** The largest quake in that period was a M5.7 shallow event 20 km east-southeast of Silver Springs, Nevada, on April 14, followed by smaller tremors like M5.5 in the Carlsberg Ridge on April 18—none reaching the 6.5 threshold per moment magnitude (mww) scale. Globally, M6.5+ quakes average roughly one per week based on historical USGS data spanning active fault systems like the Pacific Ring of Fire, but seismic quietude prevailed here amid typical variability. Rare post-event magnitude revisions by USGS analysts could theoretically challenge this, though final reviewed catalogs rarely shift beyond 0.2 units after initial reports. Traders await official closure of the monitoring window.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between April 13, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
音量
$85,787終了日
2026/04/19マーケット開始日
Apr 10, 2026, 4:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: はい
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: はい
**USGS real-time earthquake catalog confirms zero magnitude 6.5 or greater events worldwide from April 13-19, 2026, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for zero occurrences.** The largest quake in that period was a M5.7 shallow event 20 km east-southeast of Silver Springs, Nevada, on April 14, followed by smaller tremors like M5.5 in the Carlsberg Ridge on April 18—none reaching the 6.5 threshold per moment magnitude (mww) scale. Globally, M6.5+ quakes average roughly one per week based on historical USGS data spanning active fault systems like the Pacific Ring of Fire, but seismic quietude prevailed here amid typical variability. Rare post-event magnitude revisions by USGS analysts could theoretically challenge this, though final reviewed catalogs rarely shift beyond 0.2 units after initial reports. Traders await official closure of the monitoring window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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