Recent forecast model consensus from agencies including the Met Office and ECMWF points to a peak of 32°C in Warsaw on August 10 under stable high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly flow that maximizes daytime heating. This aligns with the market's near-certain positioning on 32°C, reflecting traders' assessment of verified observational thresholds from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology (IMGW). Historical August maxima average near 24°C, underscoring the above-normal warmth from this synoptic pattern. Minor uncertainties around afternoon convective clouds or slight wind shifts could allow a 31°C or 33°C reading, though model agreement keeps those outcomes low-probability ahead of final daily maximum confirmation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月10日のワルシャワの最高気温は？
8月10日のワルシャワの最高気温は？
32℃ 100.0%
26°C以下 <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$31,645 Vol.
$31,645 Vol.
2026/08/10
26°C以下
いいえ
27°C
いいえ
28°C
いいえ
29℃
いいえ
30℃
いいえ
31℃
いいえ
32℃
はい
33°C
いいえ
34°C
いいえ
35℃
いいえ
36°C以上
いいえ
32℃ 100.0%
26°C以下 <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$31,645 Vol.
$31,645 Vol.
2026/08/10
26°C以下
$721 Vol.
いいえ
27°C
$551 Vol.
いいえ
28°C
$2,993 Vol.
いいえ
29℃
$2,941 Vol.
いいえ
30℃
$4,837 Vol.
いいえ
31℃
$5,861 Vol.
いいえ
32℃
$5,429 Vol.
はい
33°C
$6,327 Vol.
いいえ
34°C
$1,046 Vol.
いいえ
35℃
$458 Vol.
いいえ
36°C以上
$480 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from agencies including the Met Office and ECMWF points to a peak of 32°C in Warsaw on August 10 under stable high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly flow that maximizes daytime heating. This aligns with the market's near-certain positioning on 32°C, reflecting traders' assessment of verified observational thresholds from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology (IMGW). Historical August maxima average near 24°C, underscoring the above-normal warmth from this synoptic pattern. Minor uncertainties around afternoon convective clouds or slight wind shifts could allow a 31°C or 33°C reading, though model agreement keeps those outcomes low-probability ahead of final daily maximum confirmation.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
音量
$31,645終了日
2026/08/10マーケット開始日
Aug 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from agencies including the Met Office and ECMWF points to a peak of 32°C in Warsaw on August 10 under stable high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly flow that maximizes daytime heating. This aligns with the market's near-certain positioning on 32°C, reflecting traders' assessment of verified observational thresholds from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology (IMGW). Historical August maxima average near 24°C, underscoring the above-normal warmth from this synoptic pattern. Minor uncertainties around afternoon convective clouds or slight wind shifts could allow a 31°C or 33°C reading, though model agreement keeps those outcomes low-probability ahead of final daily maximum confirmation.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$31,645終了日
2026/08/10マーケット開始日
Aug 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Recent forecast model consensus from agencies including the Met Office and ECMWF points to a peak of 32°C in Warsaw on August 10 under stable high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly flow that maximizes daytime heating. This aligns with the market's near-certain positioning on 32°C, reflecting traders' assessment of verified observational thresholds from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology (IMGW). Historical August maxima average near 24°C, underscoring the above-normal warmth from this synoptic pattern. Minor uncertainties around afternoon convective clouds or slight wind shifts could allow a 31°C or 33°C reading, though model agreement keeps those outcomes low-probability ahead of final daily maximum confirmation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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