Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and numerical weather prediction models indicate a daily maximum near 16°C in Tokyo on May 22, supported by persistent overcast skies, light precipitation, and northerly airflow that limit daytime heating. This cooler pattern deviates from typical May climatology, where highs average around 23–25°C, and reflects stable atmospheric conditions confirmed by real-time observations and ensemble guidance. Trader consensus has consolidated heavily around the 16°C outcome as the day progresses without significant warming. Brief clearing or a wind shift could allow modest rises toward 17–18°C, though official updates and final measurements will determine resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Tokyo on May 22?
16°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$144,615 Vol.
$144,615 Vol.
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
16°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$144,615 Vol.
$144,615 Vol.
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 20, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and numerical weather prediction models indicate a daily maximum near 16°C in Tokyo on May 22, supported by persistent overcast skies, light precipitation, and northerly airflow that limit daytime heating. This cooler pattern deviates from typical May climatology, where highs average around 23–25°C, and reflects stable atmospheric conditions confirmed by real-time observations and ensemble guidance. Trader consensus has consolidated heavily around the 16°C outcome as the day progresses without significant warming. Brief clearing or a wind shift could allow modest rises toward 17–18°C, though official updates and final measurements will determine resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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