Traders overwhelmingly favor 34°C as Tel Aviv’s daily maximum on August 10 because operational forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and supporting global models project this value as the most likely peak under prevailing high-pressure conditions. Mid-summer climatology places typical August highs near 31°C, yet current sea-surface temperatures and subsidence patterns support the modest elevation. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, indicating limited forecast uncertainty. Only an unpredicted influx of cooler Mediterranean air or rapid cloud development would realistically shift the outcome outside the 34°C threshold.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月10日のテルアビブの最高気温は?
34°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$33,498 Vol.
$33,498 Vol.
31°C or below
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$33,498 Vol.
$33,498 Vol.
31°C or below
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Traders overwhelmingly favor 34°C as Tel Aviv’s daily maximum on August 10 because operational forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and supporting global models project this value as the most likely peak under prevailing high-pressure conditions. Mid-summer climatology places typical August highs near 31°C, yet current sea-surface temperatures and subsidence patterns support the modest elevation. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, indicating limited forecast uncertainty. Only an unpredicted influx of cooler Mediterranean air or rapid cloud development would realistically shift the outcome outside the 34°C threshold.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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