Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies monitoring the South China Sea region indicate a maximum temperature of 36°C for Shenzhen on August 9, driven by typical subtropical summer conditions with high humidity, light winds, and partly cloudy skies that limit excessive daytime heating. This aligns with climatological averages near 32–34°C and observed trends in August heat indices. Trader consensus reflects the narrow uncertainty band in short-range forecasts, where ensemble outputs converge on this value. A realistic challenge could arise from unexpected convective development or stronger onshore flow introducing cooler marine air, potentially capping the high below the threshold, though current model runs show low probability for such shifts before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月9日の深センの最高気温は？
8月9日の深センの最高気温は？
36℃ 100.0%
30°C以下 <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$139,339 Vol.
$139,339 Vol.
2026/08/09
30°C以下
いいえ
31°C
いいえ
32°C
いいえ
33℃
いいえ
34℃
いいえ
35℃
いいえ
36℃
はい
37℃
いいえ
38℃
いいえ
39℃
いいえ
40℃以上
いいえ
36℃ 100.0%
30°C以下 <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$139,339 Vol.
$139,339 Vol.
2026/08/09
30°C以下
$1,540 Vol.
いいえ
31°C
$15,744 Vol.
いいえ
32°C
$1,413 Vol.
いいえ
33℃
$2,744 Vol.
いいえ
34℃
$10,078 Vol.
いいえ
35℃
$14,507 Vol.
いいえ
36℃
$27,219 Vol.
はい
37℃
$15,263 Vol.
いいえ
38℃
$19,555 Vol.
いいえ
39℃
$17,174 Vol.
いいえ
40℃以上
$14,102 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies monitoring the South China Sea region indicate a maximum temperature of 36°C for Shenzhen on August 9, driven by typical subtropical summer conditions with high humidity, light winds, and partly cloudy skies that limit excessive daytime heating. This aligns with climatological averages near 32–34°C and observed trends in August heat indices. Trader consensus reflects the narrow uncertainty band in short-range forecasts, where ensemble outputs converge on this value. A realistic challenge could arise from unexpected convective development or stronger onshore flow introducing cooler marine air, potentially capping the high below the threshold, though current model runs show low probability for such shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
音量
$139,339終了日
2026/08/09マーケット開始日
Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies monitoring the South China Sea region indicate a maximum temperature of 36°C for Shenzhen on August 9, driven by typical subtropical summer conditions with high humidity, light winds, and partly cloudy skies that limit excessive daytime heating. This aligns with climatological averages near 32–34°C and observed trends in August heat indices. Trader consensus reflects the narrow uncertainty band in short-range forecasts, where ensemble outputs converge on this value. A realistic challenge could arise from unexpected convective development or stronger onshore flow introducing cooler marine air, potentially capping the high below the threshold, though current model runs show low probability for such shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$139,339終了日
2026/08/09マーケット開始日
Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies monitoring the South China Sea region indicate a maximum temperature of 36°C for Shenzhen on August 9, driven by typical subtropical summer conditions with high humidity, light winds, and partly cloudy skies that limit excessive daytime heating. This aligns with climatological averages near 32–34°C and observed trends in August heat indices. Trader consensus reflects the narrow uncertainty band in short-range forecasts, where ensemble outputs converge on this value. A realistic challenge could arise from unexpected convective development or stronger onshore flow introducing cooler marine air, potentially capping the high below the threshold, though current model runs show low probability for such shifts before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問