Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a daytime high of 21°C in Seoul on May 20 under mostly cloudy skies with light easterly winds, establishing the strong market consensus at that level. Mid-May climatology for the region typically features highs between 20–23°C, and today’s stable atmospheric conditions—with no strong warm advection or clear-sky amplification—align closely with this range. Official short-range guidance shows minimal model spread and low precipitation chances, reducing the likelihood of significant deviations. Traders assign only negligible probability to outcomes above 21°C because any late-day warming would require rapid changes in cloud cover or urban heat-island effects not supported by the latest observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Seoul on May 20?
21°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$91,640 Vol.
$91,640 Vol.
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$91,640 Vol.
$91,640 Vol.
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 18, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a daytime high of 21°C in Seoul on May 20 under mostly cloudy skies with light easterly winds, establishing the strong market consensus at that level. Mid-May climatology for the region typically features highs between 20–23°C, and today’s stable atmospheric conditions—with no strong warm advection or clear-sky amplification—align closely with this range. Official short-range guidance shows minimal model spread and low precipitation chances, reducing the likelihood of significant deviations. Traders assign only negligible probability to outcomes above 21°C because any late-day warming would require rapid changes in cloud cover or urban heat-island effects not supported by the latest observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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