Latest AEMET forecasts and European model consensus position Madrid’s August 10 maximum near 36 °C under clear, stable anticyclonic conditions with light winds and negligible cloud cover that allow strong daytime heating. Traders assign near-certainty to 37 °C because urban heat-island effects around central measuring sites routinely add 1 °C to the official reading, while minor model spread and historical August variability support that exact threshold. A sudden increase in convective cloudiness or stronger northerly flow could cap temperatures at 35 °C or below, but current synoptic patterns show little sign of such changes before peak heating hours.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月10日のマドリードの最高気温は？
8月10日のマドリードの最高気温は？
37℃ 100.0%
31℃以下 <1%
32℃ <1%
33℃ <1%
$68,319 Vol.
$68,319 Vol.
2026/08/10
31℃以下
いいえ
32℃
いいえ
33℃
いいえ
34°C
いいえ
35°C
いいえ
36℃
いいえ
37℃
はい
38℃
いいえ
39°C
いいえ
40°C
いいえ
41℃以上
いいえ
37℃ 100.0%
31℃以下 <1%
32℃ <1%
33℃ <1%
$68,319 Vol.
$68,319 Vol.
2026/08/10
31℃以下
$1,360 Vol.
いいえ
32℃
$291 Vol.
いいえ
33℃
$865 Vol.
いいえ
34°C
$2,013 Vol.
いいえ
35°C
$4,760 Vol.
いいえ
36℃
$17,418 Vol.
いいえ
37℃
$18,108 Vol.
はい
38℃
$16,852 Vol.
いいえ
39°C
$4,918 Vol.
いいえ
40°C
$1,255 Vol.
いいえ
41℃以上
$479 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest AEMET forecasts and European model consensus position Madrid’s August 10 maximum near 36 °C under clear, stable anticyclonic conditions with light winds and negligible cloud cover that allow strong daytime heating. Traders assign near-certainty to 37 °C because urban heat-island effects around central measuring sites routinely add 1 °C to the official reading, while minor model spread and historical August variability support that exact threshold. A sudden increase in convective cloudiness or stronger northerly flow could cap temperatures at 35 °C or below, but current synoptic patterns show little sign of such changes before peak heating hours.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
音量
$68,319終了日
2026/08/10マーケット開始日
Aug 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest AEMET forecasts and European model consensus position Madrid’s August 10 maximum near 36 °C under clear, stable anticyclonic conditions with light winds and negligible cloud cover that allow strong daytime heating. Traders assign near-certainty to 37 °C because urban heat-island effects around central measuring sites routinely add 1 °C to the official reading, while minor model spread and historical August variability support that exact threshold. A sudden increase in convective cloudiness or stronger northerly flow could cap temperatures at 35 °C or below, but current synoptic patterns show little sign of such changes before peak heating hours.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$68,319終了日
2026/08/10マーケット開始日
Aug 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Latest AEMET forecasts and European model consensus position Madrid’s August 10 maximum near 36 °C under clear, stable anticyclonic conditions with light winds and negligible cloud cover that allow strong daytime heating. Traders assign near-certainty to 37 °C because urban heat-island effects around central measuring sites routinely add 1 °C to the official reading, while minor model spread and historical August variability support that exact threshold. A sudden increase in convective cloudiness or stronger northerly flow could cap temperatures at 35 °C or below, but current synoptic patterns show little sign of such changes before peak heating hours.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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