Traders have converged on 28°C as the implied daily maximum for Istanbul on August 10 due to official meteorological observations and real-time station data aligning precisely with this threshold. August climatology for the region typically features highs of 27–30°C under subtropical high pressure, with limited diurnal variability from the moderating influence of the Bosphorus and Black Sea. Current synoptic conditions, including stable subsidence and light northerly flow, suppressed further warming and kept peak readings at this level according to authoritative monitoring. The near-certain market pricing reflects the finality of the observation window, though an unlikely late revision in official reporting or instrumentation calibration could theoretically shift resolution criteria.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月10日のイスタンブールの最高気温は?
28°C 100.0%
23℃以下 <1%
24°C <1%
25℃ <1%
$25,006 Vol.
$25,006 Vol.
23℃以下
いいえ
24°C
いいえ
25℃
いいえ
26°C
いいえ
27°C
いいえ
28°C
はい
29℃
いいえ
30°C
いいえ
31℃
いいえ
32°C
いいえ
33°C以上
いいえ
28°C 100.0%
23℃以下 <1%
24°C <1%
25℃ <1%
$25,006 Vol.
$25,006 Vol.
23℃以下
いいえ
24°C
いいえ
25℃
いいえ
26°C
いいえ
27°C
いいえ
28°C
はい
29℃
いいえ
30°C
いいえ
31℃
いいえ
32°C
いいえ
33°C以上
いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Traders have converged on 28°C as the implied daily maximum for Istanbul on August 10 due to official meteorological observations and real-time station data aligning precisely with this threshold. August climatology for the region typically features highs of 27–30°C under subtropical high pressure, with limited diurnal variability from the moderating influence of the Bosphorus and Black Sea. Current synoptic conditions, including stable subsidence and light northerly flow, suppressed further warming and kept peak readings at this level according to authoritative monitoring. The near-certain market pricing reflects the finality of the observation window, though an unlikely late revision in official reporting or instrumentation calibration could theoretically shift resolution criteria.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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