Traders assign near-certainty to a 34°C high in Hong Kong on August 8 because official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded that exact maximum air temperature under typical summer subtropical conditions. Persistent high pressure and light winds limited cloud cover and allowed strong solar heating, while the urban heat island effect around the measuring station reinforced the reading without pushing it higher. Model consensus and real-time station data aligned closely with this outcome, leaving little room for revision. Only an undocumented sensor malfunction or post-event data correction could alter resolution, both of which are rare once preliminary values are confirmed by the observatory.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月8日の香港の最高気温は?
34°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$187,977 Vol.
$187,977 Vol.
31°C or below
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$187,977 Vol.
$187,977 Vol.
31°C or below
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Traders assign near-certainty to a 34°C high in Hong Kong on August 8 because official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded that exact maximum air temperature under typical summer subtropical conditions. Persistent high pressure and light winds limited cloud cover and allowed strong solar heating, while the urban heat island effect around the measuring station reinforced the reading without pushing it higher. Model consensus and real-time station data aligned closely with this outcome, leaving little room for revision. Only an undocumented sensor malfunction or post-event data correction could alter resolution, both of which are rare once preliminary values are confirmed by the observatory.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
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