The near-certain market consensus on 33°C reflects the Hong Kong Observatory's official maximum temperature reading for August 7, 2026, which aligned precisely with that threshold amid typical summer conditions. Regional forecasts from earlier in the week had projected highs around 32°C, with actual observations confirming a peak of 33°C under stable atmospheric patterns and moderate humidity levels. This outcome sits within Hong Kong's climatological August average of roughly 31–32°C, consistent with long-term trends influenced by regional warming. Only an unforeseen data revision or measurement discrepancy at the primary station could realistically alter the resolution, though such adjustments remain rare for verified daily records.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月7日の香港の最高気温は?
33°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$288,556 Vol.
$288,556 Vol.
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$288,556 Vol.
$288,556 Vol.
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The near-certain market consensus on 33°C reflects the Hong Kong Observatory's official maximum temperature reading for August 7, 2026, which aligned precisely with that threshold amid typical summer conditions. Regional forecasts from earlier in the week had projected highs around 32°C, with actual observations confirming a peak of 33°C under stable atmospheric patterns and moderate humidity levels. This outcome sits within Hong Kong's climatological August average of roughly 31–32°C, consistent with long-term trends influenced by regional warming. Only an unforeseen data revision or measurement discrepancy at the primary station could realistically alter the resolution, though such adjustments remain rare for verified daily records.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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