Recent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global numerical models indicate a daytime maximum of 31°C for Guangzhou on May 20, supported by persistent cloud cover, moderate moisture from the Pearl River Delta, and limited solar heating that caps convective warming. This positioning aligns with climatological May averages near 30–32°C while reflecting the latest model consensus that rules out stronger afternoon peaks. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, treats this as the most probable verified reading from the Guangzhou Baiyun station. A sudden shift to clearer skies or stronger subsidence could allow temperatures to exceed 32°C, though current atmospheric conditions make that outcome unlikely before the daily peak resolves.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Guangzhou on May 20?
31°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$36,418 Vol.
$36,418 Vol.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$36,418 Vol.
$36,418 Vol.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 18, 2026, 12:46 AM ET
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Recent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global numerical models indicate a daytime maximum of 31°C for Guangzhou on May 20, supported by persistent cloud cover, moderate moisture from the Pearl River Delta, and limited solar heating that caps convective warming. This positioning aligns with climatological May averages near 30–32°C while reflecting the latest model consensus that rules out stronger afternoon peaks. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, treats this as the most probable verified reading from the Guangzhou Baiyun station. A sudden shift to clearer skies or stronger subsidence could allow temperatures to exceed 32°C, though current atmospheric conditions make that outcome unlikely before the daily peak resolves.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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