Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and supporting numerical weather prediction models project a daytime maximum of 30°C for Chongqing on August 8, 2026, anchoring the market's near-certain consensus at that exact threshold. Persistent cloud cover and periods of light rain or showers, consistent with recent model consensus, are suppressing insolation and limiting daytime heating below typical August climatology of 33–35°C. The market-implied odds reflect traders' assessment of these verified forecast outputs and the narrow resolution window tied to official station observations at Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport. A significant model shift or unexpected clearing could still alter the outcome, though current data show low uncertainty around the 30°C mark.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月8日の重慶の最高気温は?
30°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$69,318 Vol.
$69,318 Vol.
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36℃以上
いいえ
30°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$69,318 Vol.
$69,318 Vol.
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36℃以上
いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and supporting numerical weather prediction models project a daytime maximum of 30°C for Chongqing on August 8, 2026, anchoring the market's near-certain consensus at that exact threshold. Persistent cloud cover and periods of light rain or showers, consistent with recent model consensus, are suppressing insolation and limiting daytime heating below typical August climatology of 33–35°C. The market-implied odds reflect traders' assessment of these verified forecast outputs and the narrow resolution window tied to official station observations at Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport. A significant model shift or unexpected clearing could still alter the outcome, though current data show low uncertainty around the 30°C mark.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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