Official meteorological forecasts for Beijing on August 8, 2026, consistently project a daytime maximum near 32°C, aligning with the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome. This positioning reflects current model consensus from agencies tracking regional atmospheric patterns, including typical early-August influence from the subtropical high that sustains summer warmth before the solar term shift around August 7–9. Historical climatology supports highs in the 30–33°C range during this period, with low variability under stable conditions. A realistic challenge could arise from unforecast convective activity or rapid frontal passage bringing cooler air and precipitation, potentially dropping the peak below the threshold.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月8日の北京の最高気温は？
8月8日の北京の最高気温は？
32°C 100.0%
26℃以下 <1%
27℃ <1%
28℃ <1%
$76,669 Vol.
$76,669 Vol.
2026/08/08
26℃以下
いいえ
27℃
いいえ
28℃
いいえ
29℃
いいえ
30℃
いいえ
31°C
いいえ
32°C
はい
33°C
いいえ
34°C
いいえ
35℃
いいえ
36°C以上
いいえ
32°C 100.0%
26℃以下 <1%
27℃ <1%
28℃ <1%
$76,669 Vol.
$76,669 Vol.
2026/08/08
26℃以下
$1,284 Vol.
いいえ
27℃
$1,246 Vol.
いいえ
28℃
$5,518 Vol.
いいえ
29℃
$2,288 Vol.
いいえ
30℃
$20,796 Vol.
いいえ
31°C
$13,901 Vol.
いいえ
32°C
$8,254 Vol.
はい
33°C
$10,183 Vol.
いいえ
34°C
$5,686 Vol.
いいえ
35℃
$2,610 Vol.
いいえ
36°C以上
$4,902 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological forecasts for Beijing on August 8, 2026, consistently project a daytime maximum near 32°C, aligning with the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome. This positioning reflects current model consensus from agencies tracking regional atmospheric patterns, including typical early-August influence from the subtropical high that sustains summer warmth before the solar term shift around August 7–9. Historical climatology supports highs in the 30–33°C range during this period, with low variability under stable conditions. A realistic challenge could arise from unforecast convective activity or rapid frontal passage bringing cooler air and precipitation, potentially dropping the peak below the threshold.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
音量
$76,669終了日
2026/08/08マーケット開始日
Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological forecasts for Beijing on August 8, 2026, consistently project a daytime maximum near 32°C, aligning with the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome. This positioning reflects current model consensus from agencies tracking regional atmospheric patterns, including typical early-August influence from the subtropical high that sustains summer warmth before the solar term shift around August 7–9. Historical climatology supports highs in the 30–33°C range during this period, with low variability under stable conditions. A realistic challenge could arise from unforecast convective activity or rapid frontal passage bringing cooler air and precipitation, potentially dropping the peak below the threshold.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$76,669終了日
2026/08/08マーケット開始日
Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Official meteorological forecasts for Beijing on August 8, 2026, consistently project a daytime maximum near 32°C, aligning with the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome. This positioning reflects current model consensus from agencies tracking regional atmospheric patterns, including typical early-August influence from the subtropical high that sustains summer warmth before the solar term shift around August 7–9. Historical climatology supports highs in the 30–33°C range during this period, with low variability under stable conditions. A realistic challenge could arise from unforecast convective activity or rapid frontal passage bringing cooler air and precipitation, potentially dropping the peak below the threshold.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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