Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty for Austin's highest temperature reaching 84°F or higher today, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast of a high near 86°F under mostly sunny skies and calm winds shifting east-northeast at 5 mph. Morning observations at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport show temperatures rising from an overnight low of 64°F toward the low 70s by mid-morning, supporting robust diurnal heating typical for mid-May climatology (normal high 86°F). Model ensembles from NOAA align on dry conditions with ample solar insolation. Realistic challenges include unexpected marine layer persistence or sudden cloud cover reducing insolation, though current guidance shows low precipitation odds (<10%) and no disruptive upper-level features; afternoon updates from NWS Austin/San Antonio will refine this outlook.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Austin on May 12?
Highest temperature in Austin on May 12?
84°F or higher 100.0%
65°F or below <1%
66-67°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$106,145 Vol.
$106,145 Vol.
2026/05/12
65°F or below
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84°F or higher
Yes
84°F or higher 100.0%
65°F or below <1%
66-67°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$106,145 Vol.
$106,145 Vol.
2026/05/12
65°F or below
$20,573 Vol.
No
66-67°F
$10,098 Vol.
No
68-69°F
$7,401 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$5,146 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$4,251 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$4,770 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$3,489 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$4,029 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$6,289 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$16,407 Vol.
No
84°F or higher
$23,692 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty for Austin's highest temperature reaching 84°F or higher today, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast of a high near 86°F under mostly sunny skies and calm winds shifting east-northeast at 5 mph. Morning observations at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport show temperatures rising from an overnight low of 64°F toward the low 70s by mid-morning, supporting robust diurnal heating typical for mid-May climatology (normal high 86°F). Model ensembles from NOAA align on dry conditions with ample solar insolation. Realistic challenges include unexpected marine layer persistence or sudden cloud cover reducing insolation, though current guidance shows low precipitation odds (<10%) and no disruptive upper-level features; afternoon updates from NWS Austin/San Antonio will refine this outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 10, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
音量
$106,145終了日
2026/05/12マーケット開始日
May 10, 2026, 12:21 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty for Austin's highest temperature reaching 84°F or higher today, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast of a high near 86°F under mostly sunny skies and calm winds shifting east-northeast at 5 mph. Morning observations at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport show temperatures rising from an overnight low of 64°F toward the low 70s by mid-morning, supporting robust diurnal heating typical for mid-May climatology (normal high 86°F). Model ensembles from NOAA align on dry conditions with ample solar insolation. Realistic challenges include unexpected marine layer persistence or sudden cloud cover reducing insolation, though current guidance shows low precipitation odds (<10%) and no disruptive upper-level features; afternoon updates from NWS Austin/San Antonio will refine this outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$106,145終了日
2026/05/12マーケット開始日
May 10, 2026, 12:21 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty for Austin's highest temperature reaching 84°F or higher today, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast of a high near 86°F under mostly sunny skies and calm winds shifting east-northeast at 5 mph. Morning observations at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport show temperatures rising from an overnight low of 64°F toward the low 70s by mid-morning, supporting robust diurnal heating typical for mid-May climatology (normal high 86°F). Model ensembles from NOAA align on dry conditions with ample solar insolation. Realistic challenges include unexpected marine layer persistence or sudden cloud cover reducing insolation, though current guidance shows low precipitation odds (<10%) and no disruptive upper-level features; afternoon updates from NWS Austin/San Antonio will refine this outlook.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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