**Trader consensus on no hantavirus pandemic in 2026 rests on the virus's established transmission biology and the contained nature of the May 2026 Andes virus cluster.** Andes hantavirus, the only strain with documented person-to-person spread, requires prolonged close contact rather than efficient airborne transmission typical of pandemic pathogens like influenza or SARS-CoV-2. The cruise-ship outbreak produced roughly 10–12 confirmed cases and three deaths before containment through isolation and contact tracing; CDC and WHO assessments placed global risk at low to very low, with no sustained community transmission detected by mid-June. Endemic U.S. hantaviruses remain strictly rodent-borne with no human-to-human capability. Realistic shifts would require substantial viral adaptation for higher transmissibility before severe illness or undetected chains of spread outside monitored contacts—scenarios experts view as biologically unlikely given current data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日2026年のハンタウイルスのパンデミック？
2026年のハンタウイルスのパンデミック？
はい
$15,262,068 Vol.
$15,262,068 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
$15,262,068 Vol.
$15,262,068 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Trader consensus on no hantavirus pandemic in 2026 rests on the virus's established transmission biology and the contained nature of the May 2026 Andes virus cluster.** Andes hantavirus, the only strain with documented person-to-person spread, requires prolonged close contact rather than efficient airborne transmission typical of pandemic pathogens like influenza or SARS-CoV-2. The cruise-ship outbreak produced roughly 10–12 confirmed cases and three deaths before containment through isolation and contact tracing; CDC and WHO assessments placed global risk at low to very low, with no sustained community transmission detected by mid-June. Endemic U.S. hantaviruses remain strictly rodent-borne with no human-to-human capability. Realistic shifts would require substantial viral adaptation for higher transmissibility before severe illness or undetected chains of spread outside monitored contacts—scenarios experts view as biologically unlikely given current data.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： May 4, 2026, 10:26 AM ET
音量
$15,262,068終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
May 4, 2026, 10:26 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Trader consensus on no hantavirus pandemic in 2026 rests on the virus's established transmission biology and the contained nature of the May 2026 Andes virus cluster.** Andes hantavirus, the only strain with documented person-to-person spread, requires prolonged close contact rather than efficient airborne transmission typical of pandemic pathogens like influenza or SARS-CoV-2. The cruise-ship outbreak produced roughly 10–12 confirmed cases and three deaths before containment through isolation and contact tracing; CDC and WHO assessments placed global risk at low to very low, with no sustained community transmission detected by mid-June. Endemic U.S. hantaviruses remain strictly rodent-borne with no human-to-human capability. Realistic shifts would require substantial viral adaptation for higher transmissibility before severe illness or undetected chains of spread outside monitored contacts—scenarios experts view as biologically unlikely given current data.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$15,262,089終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
May 4, 2026, 10:26 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Trader consensus on no hantavirus pandemic in 2026 rests on the virus's established transmission biology and the contained nature of the May 2026 Andes virus cluster.** Andes hantavirus, the only strain with documented person-to-person spread, requires prolonged close contact rather than efficient airborne transmission typical of pandemic pathogens like influenza or SARS-CoV-2. The cruise-ship outbreak produced roughly 10–12 confirmed cases and three deaths before containment through isolation and contact tracing; CDC and WHO assessments placed global risk at low to very low, with no sustained community transmission detected by mid-June. Endemic U.S. hantaviruses remain strictly rodent-borne with no human-to-human capability. Realistic shifts would require substantial viral adaptation for higher transmissibility before severe illness or undetected chains of spread outside monitored contacts—scenarios experts view as biologically unlikely given current data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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