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icon for 6月30日までにハンタウイルスラボの漏洩が確認されましたか？

6月30日までにハンタウイルスラボの漏洩が確認されましたか？

icon for 6月30日までにハンタウイルスラボの漏洩が確認されましたか？

6月30日までにハンタウイルスラボの漏洩が確認されましたか？

はい

<1% 確率
Polymarket

$654,448 Vol.

はい

<1% 確率
Polymarket

$654,448 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any hantavirus case linked to the hantavirus outbreak on the MV Hondius cruise ship is confirmed to have originated from a medical laboratory or research facility by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Confirmation that the hantavirus case originated from a medical laboratory, research facility, diagnostic facility, or other controlled laboratory setting is required. Definitive confirmation that the lab-originated case directly caused the outbreak on the MV Hondius is not required, provided a consensus of credible reporting indicates that the lab-originated case is a possible source of, or is otherwise plausibly connected to, the MV Hondius outbreak. Investigations, speculation, statements that a lab origin is possible or has not been ruled out, or statements unverified by a consensus of credible reporting will not suffice. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The market's near-certain "No" consensus at 99.6% reflects the absence of any credible evidence tying the MV Hondius Andes virus cluster to a lab origin, with official CDC and WHO reports framing the May 2026 outbreak as a classic natural transmission event among passengers exposed in South American endemic zones. Epidemiological tracing, PCR sequencing confirming the rodent-borne strain, and person-to-person spread patterns align with established hantavirus biology rather than any engineered or leaked pathogen narrative, keeping resolution firmly on track absent a dramatic last-minute reversal. Traders see little room for an upset scenario before the June 30 deadline, as the two-week window offers scant opportunity for verified whistleblower testimony or reclassification amid ongoing public health scrutiny.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any hantavirus case linked to the hantavirus outbreak on the MV Hondius cruise ship is confirmed to have originated from a medical laboratory or research facility by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

Confirmation that the hantavirus case originated from a medical laboratory, research facility, diagnostic facility, or other controlled laboratory setting is required. Definitive confirmation that the lab-originated case directly caused the outbreak on the MV Hondius is not required, provided a consensus of credible reporting indicates that the lab-originated case is a possible source of, or is otherwise plausibly connected to, the MV Hondius outbreak.

Investigations, speculation, statements that a lab origin is possible or has not been ruled out, or statements unverified by a consensus of credible reporting will not suffice.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$654,448
終了日
2026/06/30
マーケット開始日
May 7, 2026, 1:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any hantavirus case linked to the hantavirus outbreak on the MV Hondius cruise ship is confirmed to have originated from a medical laboratory or research facility by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Confirmation that the hantavirus case originated from a medical laboratory, research facility, diagnostic facility, or other controlled laboratory setting is required. Definitive confirmation that the lab-originated case directly caused the outbreak on the MV Hondius is not required, provided a consensus of credible reporting indicates that the lab-originated case is a possible source of, or is otherwise plausibly connected to, the MV Hondius outbreak. Investigations, speculation, statements that a lab origin is possible or has not been ruled out, or statements unverified by a consensus of credible reporting will not suffice. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any hantavirus case linked to the hantavirus outbreak on the MV Hondius cruise ship is confirmed to have originated from a medical laboratory or research facility by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Confirmation that the hantavirus case originated from a medical laboratory, research facility, diagnostic facility, or other controlled laboratory setting is required. Definitive confirmation that the lab-originated case directly caused the outbreak on the MV Hondius is not required, provided a consensus of credible reporting indicates that the lab-originated case is a possible source of, or is otherwise plausibly connected to, the MV Hondius outbreak. Investigations, speculation, statements that a lab origin is possible or has not been ruled out, or statements unverified by a consensus of credible reporting will not suffice. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The market's near-certain "No" consensus at 99.6% reflects the absence of any credible evidence tying the MV Hondius Andes virus cluster to a lab origin, with official CDC and WHO reports framing the May 2026 outbreak as a classic natural transmission event among passengers exposed in South American endemic zones. Epidemiological tracing, PCR sequencing confirming the rodent-borne strain, and person-to-person spread patterns align with established hantavirus biology rather than any engineered or leaked pathogen narrative, keeping resolution firmly on track absent a dramatic last-minute reversal. Traders see little room for an upset scenario before the June 30 deadline, as the two-week window offers scant opportunity for verified whistleblower testimony or reclassification amid ongoing public health scrutiny.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any hantavirus case linked to the hantavirus outbreak on the MV Hondius cruise ship is confirmed to have originated from a medical laboratory or research facility by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

Confirmation that the hantavirus case originated from a medical laboratory, research facility, diagnostic facility, or other controlled laboratory setting is required. Definitive confirmation that the lab-originated case directly caused the outbreak on the MV Hondius is not required, provided a consensus of credible reporting indicates that the lab-originated case is a possible source of, or is otherwise plausibly connected to, the MV Hondius outbreak.

Investigations, speculation, statements that a lab origin is possible or has not been ruled out, or statements unverified by a consensus of credible reporting will not suffice.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$654,448
終了日
2026/06/30
マーケット開始日
May 7, 2026, 1:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any hantavirus case linked to the hantavirus outbreak on the MV Hondius cruise ship is confirmed to have originated from a medical laboratory or research facility by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Confirmation that the hantavirus case originated from a medical laboratory, research facility, diagnostic facility, or other controlled laboratory setting is required. Definitive confirmation that the lab-originated case directly caused the outbreak on the MV Hondius is not required, provided a consensus of credible reporting indicates that the lab-originated case is a possible source of, or is otherwise plausibly connected to, the MV Hondius outbreak. Investigations, speculation, statements that a lab origin is possible or has not been ruled out, or statements unverified by a consensus of credible reporting will not suffice. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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よくある質問

「6月30日までにハンタウイルスラボの漏洩が確認されましたか？」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ハンタウイルスの研究所漏洩は6月30日までに確認されましたか？」で0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、0¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に0%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「6月30日までにハンタウイルスラボの漏洩が確認されましたか？」は$654.4Kの総取引量を生み出しています（May 7, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「6月30日までにハンタウイルスラボの漏洩が確認されましたか？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

これは非常に拮抗した市場です。「6月30日までにハンタウイルスラボの漏洩が確認されましたか？」の現在のリーダーは「ハンタウイルスの研究所漏洩は6月30日までに確認されましたか？」でわずか0%です。どの結果も強い多数派を占めていないため、トレーダーはこれを非常に不確実と見ており、独自の取引機会を提供する可能性があります。これらのオッズはリアルタイムで更新されますので、このページをブックマークしてください。

「6月30日までにハンタウイルスラボの漏洩が確認されましたか？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。