Rising gasoline prices, driven by U.S. and Israeli military operations against Iran since February 2026 and subsequent supply disruptions, have increased the national average by more than $1.50 per gallon through May. President Trump publicly endorsed a temporary suspension of the 18.4-cent federal excise tax on gasoline, prompting multiple bipartisan bills in the 119th Congress, including S. 4485 for a 90-day pause and others extending through October 1. These measures require congressional passage and would reduce revenue to the Highway Trust Fund. No suspension has been enacted, with proposals referred to committees but not advanced as of early June. Key factors for traders include legislative momentum during summer driving season, ongoing geopolitical developments, and historical precedent that the federal gas tax has never been suspended.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$17,656 Vol.
June 30
4%
November 2
37%
$17,656 Vol.
June 30
4%
November 2
37%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that would, at least temporarily, suspend the federal excise tax on gasoline is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日: May 12, 2026, 1:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that would, at least temporarily, suspend the federal excise tax on gasoline is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Rising gasoline prices, driven by U.S. and Israeli military operations against Iran since February 2026 and subsequent supply disruptions, have increased the national average by more than $1.50 per gallon through May. President Trump publicly endorsed a temporary suspension of the 18.4-cent federal excise tax on gasoline, prompting multiple bipartisan bills in the 119th Congress, including S. 4485 for a 90-day pause and others extending through October 1. These measures require congressional passage and would reduce revenue to the Highway Trust Fund. No suspension has been enacted, with proposals referred to committees but not advanced as of early June. Key factors for traders include legislative momentum during summer driving season, ongoing geopolitical developments, and historical precedent that the federal gas tax has never been suspended.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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