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icon for エミー2026 :傑出したバラエティシリーズ

エミー2026 :傑出したバラエティシリーズ

icon for エミー2026 :傑出したバラエティシリーズ

エミー2026 :傑出したバラエティシリーズ

ザ・レイト・ショー・ウィズ・スティーブン・コルベア 81%

ジョン・オリバーのラスト・ウィーク・トゥナイト 6.6%

「ジミー・キンメル・ライブ!」 5.5%

「ザ・デイリー・ショー」 1.2%

Polymarket

$65,937 Vol.

ザ・レイト・ショー・ウィズ・スティーブン・コルベア 81%

ジョン・オリバーのラスト・ウィーク・トゥナイト 6.6%

「ジミー・キンメル・ライブ!」 5.5%

「ザ・デイリー・ショー」 1.2%

Polymarket

$65,937 Vol.

ザ・レイト・ショー・ウィズ・スティーブン・コルベア

$20,965 Vol.

81%

ジョン・オリバーのラスト・ウィーク・トゥナイト

$11,343 Vol.

7%

「ジミー・キンメル・ライブ!」

$16,736 Vol.

6%

「ザ・デイリー・ショー」

$8,887 Vol.

1%

サタデー・ナイト・ライブ

$8,005 Vol.

1%

The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”. If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Late Show with Stephen Colbert leads the market at 78.5% implied probability due to its final-season momentum and record nine Emmy nominations, the largest haul in the host’s tenure. Industry predictors from Variety, The Hollywood Reporter, and Gold Derby consistently rank it first in the merged Outstanding Variety Series category, citing strong critical reception, consistent topical relevance, and a robust CBS for-your-consideration campaign featuring clips from rival hosts. Recent developments, including the July 2026 nominations announcement and ongoing final voting, have solidified trader consensus around Colbert’s swan-song bid. Last Week Tonight, Jimmy Kimmel Live!, The Daily Show, and Saturday Night Live trail as long shots, with limited recent momentum shifts or precursor wins to challenge the frontrunner before the September ceremony.

The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California

This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.

If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$65,937
終了日
2026/09/14
マーケット開始日
Jul 9, 2026, 8:40 PM ET
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”. If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”. If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Late Show with Stephen Colbert leads the market at 78.5% implied probability due to its final-season momentum and record nine Emmy nominations, the largest haul in the host’s tenure. Industry predictors from Variety, The Hollywood Reporter, and Gold Derby consistently rank it first in the merged Outstanding Variety Series category, citing strong critical reception, consistent topical relevance, and a robust CBS for-your-consideration campaign featuring clips from rival hosts. Recent developments, including the July 2026 nominations announcement and ongoing final voting, have solidified trader consensus around Colbert’s swan-song bid. Last Week Tonight, Jimmy Kimmel Live!, The Daily Show, and Saturday Night Live trail as long shots, with limited recent momentum shifts or precursor wins to challenge the frontrunner before the September ceremony.

The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California

This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.

If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$65,937
終了日
2026/09/14
マーケット開始日
Jul 9, 2026, 8:40 PM ET
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”. If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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よくある質問

「エミー2026 :傑出したバラエティシリーズ」はPolymarket上の5個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ザ・レイト・ショー・ウィズ・スティーブン・コルベア」で81%、次いで「ジョン・オリバーのラスト・ウィーク・トゥナイト」が7%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、81¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に81%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「エミー2026 :傑出したバラエティシリーズ」は$65.9Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Jul 9, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「エミー2026 :傑出したバラエティシリーズ」で取引するには、このページに記載されている5個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「エミー2026 :傑出したバラエティシリーズ」の現在のフロントランナーは「ザ・レイト・ショー・ウィズ・スティーブン・コルベア」で81%であり、市場がこの結果に81%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「ジョン・オリバーのラスト・ウィーク・トゥナイト」で7%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「エミー2026 :傑出したバラエティシリーズ」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。