The Late Show with Stephen Colbert leads the market at 78.5% implied probability due to its final-season momentum and record nine Emmy nominations, the largest haul in the host’s tenure. Industry predictors from Variety, The Hollywood Reporter, and Gold Derby consistently rank it first in the merged Outstanding Variety Series category, citing strong critical reception, consistent topical relevance, and a robust CBS for-your-consideration campaign featuring clips from rival hosts. Recent developments, including the July 2026 nominations announcement and ongoing final voting, have solidified trader consensus around Colbert’s swan-song bid. Last Week Tonight, Jimmy Kimmel Live!, The Daily Show, and Saturday Night Live trail as long shots, with limited recent momentum shifts or precursor wins to challenge the frontrunner before the September ceremony.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日エミー2026 :傑出したバラエティシリーズ
ザ・レイト・ショー・ウィズ・スティーブン・コルベア 81%
ジョン・オリバーのラスト・ウィーク・トゥナイト 6.6%
「ジミー・キンメル・ライブ!」 5.5%
「ザ・デイリー・ショー」 1.2%
$65,937 Vol.
$65,937 Vol.
ザ・レイト・ショー・ウィズ・スティーブン・コルベア
81%
ジョン・オリバーのラスト・ウィーク・トゥナイト
7%
「ジミー・キンメル・ライブ!」
6%
「ザ・デイリー・ショー」
1%
サタデー・ナイト・ライブ
1%
ザ・レイト・ショー・ウィズ・スティーブン・コルベア 81%
ジョン・オリバーのラスト・ウィーク・トゥナイト 6.6%
「ジミー・キンメル・ライブ!」 5.5%
「ザ・デイリー・ショー」 1.2%
$65,937 Vol.
$65,937 Vol.
ザ・レイト・ショー・ウィズ・スティーブン・コルベア
81%
ジョン・オリバーのラスト・ウィーク・トゥナイト
7%
「ジミー・キンメル・ライブ!」
6%
「ザ・デイリー・ショー」
1%
サタデー・ナイト・ライブ
1%
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日: Jul 9, 2026, 8:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Late Show with Stephen Colbert leads the market at 78.5% implied probability due to its final-season momentum and record nine Emmy nominations, the largest haul in the host’s tenure. Industry predictors from Variety, The Hollywood Reporter, and Gold Derby consistently rank it first in the merged Outstanding Variety Series category, citing strong critical reception, consistent topical relevance, and a robust CBS for-your-consideration campaign featuring clips from rival hosts. Recent developments, including the July 2026 nominations announcement and ongoing final voting, have solidified trader consensus around Colbert’s swan-song bid. Last Week Tonight, Jimmy Kimmel Live!, The Daily Show, and Saturday Night Live trail as long shots, with limited recent momentum shifts or precursor wins to challenge the frontrunner before the September ceremony.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問