Jean Smart’s commanding lead in the 2026 Emmy race for Outstanding Lead Actress in a Comedy Series stems from her four consecutive prior wins for Hacks, combined with the HBO series’ final-season narrative that often sways Academy voters toward legacy honors. Nominations announced in July placed her against returning contenders like Lisa Kudrow and Quinta Brunson plus newer entries Elle Fanning and Ayo Edebiri, yet industry predictors and guild sentiment continue to favor Smart’s Deborah Vance performance. Trader consensus at 97% implied probability reflects this momentum, though a realistic upset would require an unusually strong late surge from Kudrow’s limited-episode return or a surprise guild sweep shifting voter sentiment before the September ceremony.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日エミー2026 ：コメディシリーズの優れた主演女優
エミー2026 ：コメディシリーズの優れた主演女優
Jean Smart – “Hacks” 97.0%
Lisa Kudrow – “The Comeback” 2.4%
Elle Fanning – “Margo’s Got Money Troubles” <1%
Quinta Brunson – “Abbott Elementary” <1%
$21,375 Vol.
$21,375 Vol.
Jean Smart – “Hacks”
97%
Lisa Kudrow – “The Comeback”
2%
Elle Fanning – “Margo’s Got Money Troubles”
1%
Quinta Brunson – “Abbott Elementary”
<1%
Ayo Edebiri – “The Bear”
<1%
Jean Smart – “Hacks” 97.0%
Lisa Kudrow – “The Comeback” 2.4%
Elle Fanning – “Margo’s Got Money Troubles” <1%
Quinta Brunson – “Abbott Elementary” <1%
$21,375 Vol.
$21,375 Vol.
Jean Smart – “Hacks”
97%
Lisa Kudrow – “The Comeback”
2%
Elle Fanning – “Margo’s Got Money Troubles”
1%
Quinta Brunson – “Abbott Elementary”
<1%
Ayo Edebiri – “The Bear”
<1%
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actress in a comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jul 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actress in a comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Jean Smart’s commanding lead in the 2026 Emmy race for Outstanding Lead Actress in a Comedy Series stems from her four consecutive prior wins for Hacks, combined with the HBO series’ final-season narrative that often sways Academy voters toward legacy honors. Nominations announced in July placed her against returning contenders like Lisa Kudrow and Quinta Brunson plus newer entries Elle Fanning and Ayo Edebiri, yet industry predictors and guild sentiment continue to favor Smart’s Deborah Vance performance. Trader consensus at 97% implied probability reflects this momentum, though a realistic upset would require an unusually strong late surge from Kudrow’s limited-episode return or a surprise guild sweep shifting voter sentiment before the September ceremony.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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