The jury's May 2026 verdict dismissing Elon Musk's claims against Sam Altman and OpenAI on statute of limitations grounds stands as the dominant factor behind traders' near-certain view that no large settlement will materialize. After a swift trial featuring testimony on the nonprofit origins of the artificial intelligence lab, the unanimous decision eliminated the core breach-of-contract and unjust enrichment allegations, freeing OpenAI to advance its large language model development and potential IPO without legal overhang. Musk has signaled an appeal, yet legal observers note the high bar for overturning such a procedural ruling in federal court. While an unexpected appellate reversal or renewed settlement talks could theoretically reopen the door, current procedural timelines and the strength of the original dismissal leave little realistic path to a $10 billion-plus resolution in the near term.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$146,177 Vol.
$146,177 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
$146,177 Vol.
$146,177 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is awarded or receives at least $10,000,000,000 USD in the initial trial of Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR (U.S. District Court, Northern District of California), by 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying amounts include monetary damages or payments awarded via jury verdict, court judgment, or settlement reached during or prior to the initial trial proceedings. Only cash or cash-equivalent compensation payable to Elon Musk (or entities controlled by him) will be counted. Non-monetary relief will not count.
If a mistrial is declared, or if the initial trial concludes without Elon Musk receiving at least $10,000,000,000 USD, this market will resolve to "No". Any retrial, appeal, or subsequent proceedings will not be considered for this market.
If Elon Musk is awarded or receives at least $10,000,000,000 USD during the initial trial proceedings, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The jury's May 2026 verdict dismissing Elon Musk's claims against Sam Altman and OpenAI on statute of limitations grounds stands as the dominant factor behind traders' near-certain view that no large settlement will materialize. After a swift trial featuring testimony on the nonprofit origins of the artificial intelligence lab, the unanimous decision eliminated the core breach-of-contract and unjust enrichment allegations, freeing OpenAI to advance its large language model development and potential IPO without legal overhang. Musk has signaled an appeal, yet legal observers note the high bar for overturning such a procedural ruling in federal court. While an unexpected appellate reversal or renewed settlement talks could theoretically reopen the door, current procedural timelines and the strength of the original dismissal leave little realistic path to a $10 billion-plus resolution in the near term.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is awarded or receives at least $10,000,000,000 USD in the initial trial of Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR (U.S. District Court, Northern District of California), by 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying amounts include monetary damages or payments awarded via jury verdict, court judgment, or settlement reached during or prior to the initial trial proceedings. Only cash or cash-equivalent compensation payable to Elon Musk (or entities controlled by him) will be counted. Non-monetary relief will not count.
If a mistrial is declared, or if the initial trial concludes without Elon Musk receiving at least $10,000,000,000 USD, this market will resolve to "No". Any retrial, appeal, or subsequent proceedings will not be considered for this market.
If Elon Musk is awarded or receives at least $10,000,000,000 USD during the initial trial proceedings, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Qualifying amounts include monetary damages or payments awarded via jury verdict, court judgment, or settlement reached during or prior to the initial trial proceedings. Only cash or cash-equivalent compensation payable to Elon Musk (or entities controlled by him) will be counted. Non-monetary relief will not count.
If a mistrial is declared, or if the initial trial concludes without Elon Musk receiving at least $10,000,000,000 USD, this market will resolve to "No". Any retrial, appeal, or subsequent proceedings will not be considered for this market.
If Elon Musk is awarded or receives at least $10,000,000,000 USD during the initial trial proceedings, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Apr 27, 2026, 7:47 PM ET
音量
$146,177終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Apr 27, 2026, 7:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is awarded or receives at least $10,000,000,000 USD in the initial trial of Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR (U.S. District Court, Northern District of California), by 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying amounts include monetary damages or payments awarded via jury verdict, court judgment, or settlement reached during or prior to the initial trial proceedings. Only cash or cash-equivalent compensation payable to Elon Musk (or entities controlled by him) will be counted. Non-monetary relief will not count.
If a mistrial is declared, or if the initial trial concludes without Elon Musk receiving at least $10,000,000,000 USD, this market will resolve to "No". Any retrial, appeal, or subsequent proceedings will not be considered for this market.
If Elon Musk is awarded or receives at least $10,000,000,000 USD during the initial trial proceedings, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The jury's May 2026 verdict dismissing Elon Musk's claims against Sam Altman and OpenAI on statute of limitations grounds stands as the dominant factor behind traders' near-certain view that no large settlement will materialize. After a swift trial featuring testimony on the nonprofit origins of the artificial intelligence lab, the unanimous decision eliminated the core breach-of-contract and unjust enrichment allegations, freeing OpenAI to advance its large language model development and potential IPO without legal overhang. Musk has signaled an appeal, yet legal observers note the high bar for overturning such a procedural ruling in federal court. While an unexpected appellate reversal or renewed settlement talks could theoretically reopen the door, current procedural timelines and the strength of the original dismissal leave little realistic path to a $10 billion-plus resolution in the near term.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is awarded or receives at least $10,000,000,000 USD in the initial trial of Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR (U.S. District Court, Northern District of California), by 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying amounts include monetary damages or payments awarded via jury verdict, court judgment, or settlement reached during or prior to the initial trial proceedings. Only cash or cash-equivalent compensation payable to Elon Musk (or entities controlled by him) will be counted. Non-monetary relief will not count.
If a mistrial is declared, or if the initial trial concludes without Elon Musk receiving at least $10,000,000,000 USD, this market will resolve to "No". Any retrial, appeal, or subsequent proceedings will not be considered for this market.
If Elon Musk is awarded or receives at least $10,000,000,000 USD during the initial trial proceedings, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Qualifying amounts include monetary damages or payments awarded via jury verdict, court judgment, or settlement reached during or prior to the initial trial proceedings. Only cash or cash-equivalent compensation payable to Elon Musk (or entities controlled by him) will be counted. Non-monetary relief will not count.
If a mistrial is declared, or if the initial trial concludes without Elon Musk receiving at least $10,000,000,000 USD, this market will resolve to "No". Any retrial, appeal, or subsequent proceedings will not be considered for this market.
If Elon Musk is awarded or receives at least $10,000,000,000 USD during the initial trial proceedings, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$146,177終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Apr 27, 2026, 7:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The jury's May 2026 verdict dismissing Elon Musk's claims against Sam Altman and OpenAI on statute of limitations grounds stands as the dominant factor behind traders' near-certain view that no large settlement will materialize. After a swift trial featuring testimony on the nonprofit origins of the artificial intelligence lab, the unanimous decision eliminated the core breach-of-contract and unjust enrichment allegations, freeing OpenAI to advance its large language model development and potential IPO without legal overhang. Musk has signaled an appeal, yet legal observers note the high bar for overturning such a procedural ruling in federal court. While an unexpected appellate reversal or renewed settlement talks could theoretically reopen the door, current procedural timelines and the strength of the original dismissal leave little realistic path to a $10 billion-plus resolution in the near term.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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