Elon Musk’s posting pace on X remains elevated in mid-June 2026, with daily counts fluctuating between roughly 15 and 100 in the first half of the month and weekly totals already exceeding 230 in one recent stretch. This sustained activity, driven by real-time commentary on policy, technology, and platform developments, supports the clustered probabilities around 880–959 tweets for the full month. The close contest between the two leading bins reflects uncertainty over the remaining twelve days, where business announcements, geopolitical events, or high-engagement topics could add or subtract several dozen posts. Historical patterns show Musk’s volume can swing sharply with news cycles, keeping the implied distribution tight until clearer end-of-month data emerges.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日イーロン・マスクが2026年6月にツイートしましたか?
960〜999 99.9%
400未満 <1%
400〜419 <1%
420〜439 <1%
$333,107 Vol.
$333,107 Vol.
400未満
いいえ
400〜419
いいえ
420〜439
いいえ
440~459
いいえ
460〜479
いいえ
480〜499
いいえ
500〜519
いいえ
520〜539
いいえ
540~559
いいえ
560〜579
いいえ
580〜599
いいえ
600~639
いいえ
640~679
いいえ
680~719
いいえ
720〜759
いいえ
760~799
いいえ
800~839
いいえ
840~879
いいえ
880〜919
いいえ
920~959
いいえ
960〜999
はい
1000〜1039
いいえ
1040〜1079
いいえ
1080~1119
いいえ
1120〜1159
いいえ
1160~1199
いいえ
1200〜1239
いいえ
1240〜1279
いいえ
1280~1319
いいえ
1320〜1359
いいえ
1360~1399
いいえ
1400以上
いいえ
960〜999 99.9%
400未満 <1%
400〜419 <1%
420〜439 <1%
$333,107 Vol.
$333,107 Vol.
400未満
いいえ
400〜419
いいえ
420〜439
いいえ
440~459
いいえ
460〜479
いいえ
480〜499
いいえ
500〜519
いいえ
520〜539
いいえ
540~559
いいえ
560〜579
いいえ
580〜599
いいえ
600~639
いいえ
640~679
いいえ
680~719
いいえ
720〜759
いいえ
760~799
いいえ
800~839
いいえ
840~879
いいえ
880〜919
いいえ
920~959
いいえ
960〜999
はい
1000〜1039
いいえ
1040〜1079
いいえ
1080~1119
いいえ
1120〜1159
いいえ
1160~1199
いいえ
1200〜1239
いいえ
1240〜1279
いいえ
1280~1319
いいえ
1320〜1359
いいえ
1360~1399
いいえ
1400以上
いいえ
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
マーケット開始日: Jun 9, 2026, 5:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Elon Musk’s posting pace on X remains elevated in mid-June 2026, with daily counts fluctuating between roughly 15 and 100 in the first half of the month and weekly totals already exceeding 230 in one recent stretch. This sustained activity, driven by real-time commentary on policy, technology, and platform developments, supports the clustered probabilities around 880–959 tweets for the full month. The close contest between the two leading bins reflects uncertainty over the remaining twelve days, where business announcements, geopolitical events, or high-engagement topics could add or subtract several dozen posts. Historical patterns show Musk’s volume can swing sharply with news cycles, keeping the implied distribution tight until clearer end-of-month data emerges.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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