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icon for イーロン・マスクが2026年6月にツイートしましたか?

イーロン・マスクが2026年6月にツイートしましたか?

icon for イーロン・マスクが2026年6月にツイートしましたか?

イーロン・マスクが2026年6月にツイートしましたか?

960〜999 99.9%

400未満 <1%

400〜419 <1%

420〜439 <1%

Polymarket

$333,107 Vol.

960〜999 99.9%

400未満 <1%

400〜419 <1%

420〜439 <1%

Polymarket

$333,107 Vol.

400未満

$17,718 Vol.

いいえ

400〜419

$3,131 Vol.

いいえ

420〜439

$2,905 Vol.

いいえ

440~459

$2,663 Vol.

いいえ

460〜479

$4,470 Vol.

いいえ

480〜499

$1,609 Vol.

いいえ

500〜519

$3,519 Vol.

いいえ

520〜539

$4,320 Vol.

いいえ

540~559

$4,306 Vol.

いいえ

560〜579

$4,243 Vol.

いいえ

580〜599

$5,768 Vol.

いいえ

600~639

$6,907 Vol.

いいえ

640~679

$3,283 Vol.

いいえ

680~719

$3,811 Vol.

いいえ

720〜759

$4,979 Vol.

いいえ

760~799

$16,102 Vol.

いいえ

800~839

$19,320 Vol.

いいえ

840~879

$16,914 Vol.

いいえ

880〜919

$30,290 Vol.

いいえ

920~959

$46,580 Vol.

いいえ

960〜999

$31,993 Vol.

はい

1000〜1039

$36,831 Vol.

いいえ

1040〜1079

$14,402 Vol.

いいえ

1080~1119

$11,074 Vol.

いいえ

1120〜1159

$6,350 Vol.

いいえ

1160~1199

$7,879 Vol.

いいえ

1200〜1239

$5,990 Vol.

いいえ

1240〜1279

$2,450 Vol.

いいえ

1280~1319

$1,933 Vol.

いいえ

1320〜1359

$4,912 Vol.

いいえ

1360~1399

$1,768 Vol.

いいえ

1400以上

$4,687 Vol.

いいえ

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of June 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s posting pace on X remains elevated in mid-June 2026, with daily counts fluctuating between roughly 15 and 100 in the first half of the month and weekly totals already exceeding 230 in one recent stretch. This sustained activity, driven by real-time commentary on policy, technology, and platform developments, supports the clustered probabilities around 880–959 tweets for the full month. The close contest between the two leading bins reflects uncertainty over the remaining twelve days, where business announcements, geopolitical events, or high-engagement topics could add or subtract several dozen posts. Historical patterns show Musk’s volume can swing sharply with news cycles, keeping the implied distribution tight until clearer end-of-month data emerges.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of June 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$333,107
終了日
2026/07/01
マーケット開始日
Jun 9, 2026, 5:57 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of June 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

提案された結果: いいえ

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: いいえ

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of June 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s posting pace on X remains elevated in mid-June 2026, with daily counts fluctuating between roughly 15 and 100 in the first half of the month and weekly totals already exceeding 230 in one recent stretch. This sustained activity, driven by real-time commentary on policy, technology, and platform developments, supports the clustered probabilities around 880–959 tweets for the full month. The close contest between the two leading bins reflects uncertainty over the remaining twelve days, where business announcements, geopolitical events, or high-engagement topics could add or subtract several dozen posts. Historical patterns show Musk’s volume can swing sharply with news cycles, keeping the implied distribution tight until clearer end-of-month data emerges.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of June 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$333,107
終了日
2026/07/01
マーケット開始日
Jun 9, 2026, 5:57 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of June 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

提案された結果: いいえ

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: いいえ

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「イーロン・マスクが2026年6月にツイートしましたか?」はPolymarket上の32個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「960〜999」で100%、次いで「400未満」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「イーロン・マスクが2026年6月にツイートしましたか?」は$333.1Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Jun 9, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「イーロン・マスクが2026年6月にツイートしましたか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている32個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「イーロン・マスクが2026年6月にツイートしましたか?」の現在のフロントランナーは「960〜999」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「400未満」で0%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「イーロン・マスクが2026年6月にツイートしましたか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。