Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs Elon Musk posting fewer than 40 times from May 9-11, 2026, driven by his strikingly subdued X activity—averaging just 17 posts per day recently, with trackers logging only 18 from May 9-10 and seven through midday May 11 amid sparse engagement on cultural debates like Iliad adaptations and trigger warnings. This quiet streak, possibly tied to focus on SpaceX milestones or xAI developments, has crushed higher-volume odds as the window nears close, reflecting skin-in-the-game certainty from real-time monitoring. An upset would demand an unprecedented late-May-11 spree, sparked by breaking news such as a Tesla announcement or viral controversy, though historical patterns show such surges rare without catalysts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日40未満 100.0%
40～64 <1%
65〜89 <1%
90～114 <1%
$1,595,299 Vol.
$1,595,299 Vol.
2026/05/11
40未満
はい
40～64
いいえ
65〜89
いいえ
90～114
いいえ
115〜139
いいえ
140-164
No
165～189
いいえ
190～214
いいえ
215〜239
いいえ
240以上
いいえ
40未満 100.0%
40～64 <1%
65〜89 <1%
90～114 <1%
$1,595,299 Vol.
$1,595,299 Vol.
2026/05/11
40未満
$382,037 Vol.
はい
40～64
$238,372 Vol.
いいえ
65〜89
$331,921 Vol.
いいえ
90～114
$508,477 Vol.
いいえ
115〜139
$59,227 Vol.
いいえ
140-164
$25,016 Vol.
No
165～189
$23,326 Vol.
いいえ
190～214
$11,833 Vol.
いいえ
215〜239
$10,591 Vol.
いいえ
240以上
$4,499 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 9 12:00 PM ET to May 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs Elon Musk posting fewer than 40 times from May 9-11, 2026, driven by his strikingly subdued X activity—averaging just 17 posts per day recently, with trackers logging only 18 from May 9-10 and seven through midday May 11 amid sparse engagement on cultural debates like Iliad adaptations and trigger warnings. This quiet streak, possibly tied to focus on SpaceX milestones or xAI developments, has crushed higher-volume odds as the window nears close, reflecting skin-in-the-game certainty from real-time monitoring. An upset would demand an unprecedented late-May-11 spree, sparked by breaking news such as a Tesla announcement or viral controversy, though historical patterns show such surges rare without catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 9 12:00 PM ET to May 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
マーケット開始日： May 7, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
音量
$1,595,299終了日
2026/05/11マーケット開始日
May 7, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: はい
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: はい
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 9 12:00 PM ET to May 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs Elon Musk posting fewer than 40 times from May 9-11, 2026, driven by his strikingly subdued X activity—averaging just 17 posts per day recently, with trackers logging only 18 from May 9-10 and seven through midday May 11 amid sparse engagement on cultural debates like Iliad adaptations and trigger warnings. This quiet streak, possibly tied to focus on SpaceX milestones or xAI developments, has crushed higher-volume odds as the window nears close, reflecting skin-in-the-game certainty from real-time monitoring. An upset would demand an unprecedented late-May-11 spree, sparked by breaking news such as a Tesla announcement or viral controversy, though historical patterns show such surges rare without catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 9 12:00 PM ET to May 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$1,595,299終了日
2026/05/11マーケット開始日
May 7, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: はい
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: はい
Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs Elon Musk posting fewer than 40 times from May 9-11, 2026, driven by his strikingly subdued X activity—averaging just 17 posts per day recently, with trackers logging only 18 from May 9-10 and seven through midday May 11 amid sparse engagement on cultural debates like Iliad adaptations and trigger warnings. This quiet streak, possibly tied to focus on SpaceX milestones or xAI developments, has crushed higher-volume odds as the window nears close, reflecting skin-in-the-game certainty from real-time monitoring. An upset would demand an unprecedented late-May-11 spree, sparked by breaking news such as a Tesla announcement or viral controversy, though historical patterns show such surges rare without catalysts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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