Traders see the 40-64 tweet range as the clearest fit for Elon Musk’s typical X activity over a quiet three-day stretch, reflecting his established pattern of posting replies, commentary, and updates at a moderate but steady clip when no major company announcements or global events dominate his feed. The sub-40 bucket sits close behind because Musk’s volume can drop sharply during travel, family time, or focused work periods, creating meaningful downside risk. Higher brackets remain thin because sustained 20-plus tweets per day usually require external catalysts such as product launches or political developments, none of which appear on the immediate horizon before July 9. With the window only days away, any last-minute news cycle or Musk interview could quickly shift the distribution between the two leading outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日65-89 100.0%
<40 <1%
40-64 <1%
90-114 <1%
$823,997 Vol.
$823,997 Vol.
2026/07/11
<40
No
40-64
No
65-89
Yes
90-114
No
115-139
No
140-164
No
165-189
No
190-214
No
215-239
No
240+
No
65-89 100.0%
<40 <1%
40-64 <1%
90-114 <1%
$823,997 Vol.
$823,997 Vol.
2026/07/11
<40
$59,695 Vol.
No
40-64
$143,106 Vol.
No
65-89
$150,222 Vol.
Yes
90-114
$214,376 Vol.
No
115-139
$166,650 Vol.
No
140-164
$42,646 Vol.
No
165-189
$20,261 Vol.
No
190-214
$12,527 Vol.
No
215-239
$6,939 Vol.
No
240+
$7,576 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 9 12:00 PM ET to July 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see the 40-64 tweet range as the clearest fit for Elon Musk’s typical X activity over a quiet three-day stretch, reflecting his established pattern of posting replies, commentary, and updates at a moderate but steady clip when no major company announcements or global events dominate his feed. The sub-40 bucket sits close behind because Musk’s volume can drop sharply during travel, family time, or focused work periods, creating meaningful downside risk. Higher brackets remain thin because sustained 20-plus tweets per day usually require external catalysts such as product launches or political developments, none of which appear on the immediate horizon before July 9. With the window only days away, any last-minute news cycle or Musk interview could quickly shift the distribution between the two leading outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 9 12:00 PM ET to July 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
マーケット開始日： Jul 6, 2026, 12:00 PM ET
音量
$823,997終了日
2026/07/11マーケット開始日
Jul 6, 2026, 12:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 9 12:00 PM ET to July 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see the 40-64 tweet range as the clearest fit for Elon Musk’s typical X activity over a quiet three-day stretch, reflecting his established pattern of posting replies, commentary, and updates at a moderate but steady clip when no major company announcements or global events dominate his feed. The sub-40 bucket sits close behind because Musk’s volume can drop sharply during travel, family time, or focused work periods, creating meaningful downside risk. Higher brackets remain thin because sustained 20-plus tweets per day usually require external catalysts such as product launches or political developments, none of which appear on the immediate horizon before July 9. With the window only days away, any last-minute news cycle or Musk interview could quickly shift the distribution between the two leading outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 9 12:00 PM ET to July 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$823,997終了日
2026/07/11マーケット開始日
Jul 6, 2026, 12:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Traders see the 40-64 tweet range as the clearest fit for Elon Musk’s typical X activity over a quiet three-day stretch, reflecting his established pattern of posting replies, commentary, and updates at a moderate but steady clip when no major company announcements or global events dominate his feed. The sub-40 bucket sits close behind because Musk’s volume can drop sharply during travel, family time, or focused work periods, creating meaningful downside risk. Higher brackets remain thin because sustained 20-plus tweets per day usually require external catalysts such as product launches or political developments, none of which appear on the immediate horizon before July 9. With the window only days away, any last-minute news cycle or Musk interview could quickly shift the distribution between the two leading outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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