Elon Musk’s recent posting pace of roughly 30–35 tweets per day underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 180–219 range for the July 7–14 window. Traders are weighing his typical mix of company updates, news commentary, and rapid-fire replies against the post-July 4 holiday slowdown that often trims volume. Slightly higher activity could push totals into the 220–239 band if major Tesla, SpaceX, or regulatory developments surface, while quieter stretches would favor the lower 160–179 bracket. With no single dominant catalyst on the immediate horizon, the market reflects balanced expectations for routine engagement rather than an event-driven spike.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日180-199 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$3,818,336 Vol.
$3,818,336 Vol.
2026/07/14
<20
No
20-39
No
40-59
No
60-79
No
80-99
No
100-119
No
120-139
No
140-159
No
160-179
No
180-199
Yes
200-219
No
220-239
No
240-259
No
260-279
No
280-299
No
300-319
No
320-339
No
340-359
No
360-379
No
380-399
No
400-419
No
420-439
No
440-459
No
460-479
No
480-499
No
500+
No
180-199 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$3,818,336 Vol.
$3,818,336 Vol.
2026/07/14
<20
$36,555 Vol.
No
20-39
$79,931 Vol.
No
40-59
$110,408 Vol.
No
60-79
$93,277 Vol.
No
80-99
$87,952 Vol.
No
100-119
$90,639 Vol.
No
120-139
$126,566 Vol.
No
140-159
$166,037 Vol.
No
160-179
$478,443 Vol.
No
180-199
$390,187 Vol.
Yes
200-219
$311,649 Vol.
No
220-239
$328,932 Vol.
No
240-259
$244,161 Vol.
No
260-279
$187,307 Vol.
No
280-299
$180,282 Vol.
No
300-319
$148,456 Vol.
No
320-339
$147,957 Vol.
No
340-359
$127,667 Vol.
No
360-379
$79,934 Vol.
No
380-399
$111,512 Vol.
No
400-419
$94,369 Vol.
No
420-439
$91,575 Vol.
No
440-459
$18,767 Vol.
No
460-479
$21,690 Vol.
No
480-499
$13,522 Vol.
No
500+
$50,559 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 7 12:00 PM ET to July 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s recent posting pace of roughly 30–35 tweets per day underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 180–219 range for the July 7–14 window. Traders are weighing his typical mix of company updates, news commentary, and rapid-fire replies against the post-July 4 holiday slowdown that often trims volume. Slightly higher activity could push totals into the 220–239 band if major Tesla, SpaceX, or regulatory developments surface, while quieter stretches would favor the lower 160–179 bracket. With no single dominant catalyst on the immediate horizon, the market reflects balanced expectations for routine engagement rather than an event-driven spike.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 7 12:00 PM ET to July 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
マーケット開始日： Jul 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
音量
$3,818,336終了日
2026/07/14マーケット開始日
Jul 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 7 12:00 PM ET to July 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s recent posting pace of roughly 30–35 tweets per day underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 180–219 range for the July 7–14 window. Traders are weighing his typical mix of company updates, news commentary, and rapid-fire replies against the post-July 4 holiday slowdown that often trims volume. Slightly higher activity could push totals into the 220–239 band if major Tesla, SpaceX, or regulatory developments surface, while quieter stretches would favor the lower 160–179 bracket. With no single dominant catalyst on the immediate horizon, the market reflects balanced expectations for routine engagement rather than an event-driven spike.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 7 12:00 PM ET to July 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$3,818,336終了日
2026/07/14マーケット開始日
Jul 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Elon Musk’s recent posting pace of roughly 30–35 tweets per day underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 180–219 range for the July 7–14 window. Traders are weighing his typical mix of company updates, news commentary, and rapid-fire replies against the post-July 4 holiday slowdown that often trims volume. Slightly higher activity could push totals into the 220–239 band if major Tesla, SpaceX, or regulatory developments surface, while quieter stretches would favor the lower 160–179 bracket. With no single dominant catalyst on the immediate horizon, the market reflects balanced expectations for routine engagement rather than an event-driven spike.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問