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icon for イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年4月11日〜4月13日?

イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年4月11日〜4月13日?

icon for イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年4月11日〜4月13日?

イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年4月11日〜4月13日?

115〜139 100.0%

40未満 <1%

40〜64 <1%

65〜89 <1%

Polymarket

$3,648,577 Vol.

115〜139 100.0%

40未満 <1%

40〜64 <1%

65〜89 <1%

Polymarket

$3,648,577 Vol.

40未満

$207,362 Vol.

いいえ

40〜64

$274,387 Vol.

いいえ

65〜89

$274,633 Vol.

いいえ

90~114

$320,599 Vol.

いいえ

115〜139

$660,363 Vol.

はい

140〜164

$455,430 Vol.

いいえ

165~189

$516,224 Vol.

いいえ

190〜214

$500,240 Vol.

いいえ

215~239

$225,974 Vol.

いいえ

240以上

$213,366 Vol.

いいえ

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 11 12:00 PM ET to April 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Elon Musk posting 115-139 tweets from April 11-13, 2026, driven by the live X tracker showing 134 total posts as of early April 13 EST after two full days elapsed, with a daily average of 67—firmly centering the count in this bin amid limited time remaining. This positioning reflects Musk's consistent high-volume posting rhythm, recently averaging 35-60 tweets daily across April (e.g., 57 on April 11-12, 78 on 12-13 per trader analyses), fueled by his outsized role in viral political discourse, tech announcements, and meme culture. Realistic upsets to higher ranges like 165-189 would demand an anomalous 30+ tweet surge on April 13 alone, improbable given recent trajectories and historical peaks rarely exceeding 100 daily amid his packed CEO schedule.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 11 12:00 PM ET to April 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$3,648,577
終了日
2026/04/13
マーケット開始日
Apr 9, 2026, 12:02 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 11 12:00 PM ET to April 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

提案された結果: いいえ

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: いいえ

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 11 12:00 PM ET to April 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Elon Musk posting 115-139 tweets from April 11-13, 2026, driven by the live X tracker showing 134 total posts as of early April 13 EST after two full days elapsed, with a daily average of 67—firmly centering the count in this bin amid limited time remaining. This positioning reflects Musk's consistent high-volume posting rhythm, recently averaging 35-60 tweets daily across April (e.g., 57 on April 11-12, 78 on 12-13 per trader analyses), fueled by his outsized role in viral political discourse, tech announcements, and meme culture. Realistic upsets to higher ranges like 165-189 would demand an anomalous 30+ tweet surge on April 13 alone, improbable given recent trajectories and historical peaks rarely exceeding 100 daily amid his packed CEO schedule.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 11 12:00 PM ET to April 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$3,648,577
終了日
2026/04/13
マーケット開始日
Apr 9, 2026, 12:02 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 11 12:00 PM ET to April 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

提案された結果: いいえ

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: いいえ

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年4月11日〜4月13日?」はPolymarket上の10個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「115〜139」で100%、次いで「40未満」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年4月11日〜4月13日?」は$3.6 millionの総取引量を生み出しています(Apr 9, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年4月11日〜4月13日?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている10個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年4月11日〜4月13日?」の現在のフロントランナーは「115〜139」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「40未満」で0%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年4月11日〜4月13日?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。