Trump's established Truth Social activity, averaging 18-19 posts daily in 2025 and early 2026 for roughly 126-133 per week, forms the baseline for trader assessments of the July 14-21 period. Recent Iran-related military developments have produced short-term spikes, including days exceeding 30 posts, yet no major scheduled events or confirmed escalations currently align with the resolution window. The near-even distribution across 40-199 and 200+ buckets captures uncertainty over whether routine commentary, campaign updates, or breaking developments will push volume higher or keep it within historical norms.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日100-119 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$61,124 Vol.
$61,124 Vol.
2026/07/21
<20
No
20-39
No
40-59
No
60-79
No
80-99
No
100-119
Yes
120-139
No
140-159
No
160-179
No
180-199
No
200+
No
100-119 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$61,124 Vol.
$61,124 Vol.
2026/07/21
<20
$1,937 Vol.
No
20-39
$1,365 Vol.
No
40-59
$11,524 Vol.
No
60-79
$8,118 Vol.
No
80-99
$4,496 Vol.
No
100-119
$7,425 Vol.
Yes
120-139
$6,716 Vol.
No
140-159
$4,214 Vol.
No
160-179
$3,114 Vol.
No
180-199
$5,088 Vol.
No
200+
$7,126 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between July 14, 12:00 PM ET and July 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump's established Truth Social activity, averaging 18-19 posts daily in 2025 and early 2026 for roughly 126-133 per week, forms the baseline for trader assessments of the July 14-21 period. Recent Iran-related military developments have produced short-term spikes, including days exceeding 30 posts, yet no major scheduled events or confirmed escalations currently align with the resolution window. The near-even distribution across 40-199 and 200+ buckets captures uncertainty over whether routine commentary, campaign updates, or breaking developments will push volume higher or keep it within historical norms.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between July 14, 12:00 PM ET and July 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
マーケット開始日： Jul 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
音量
$61,124終了日
2026/07/21マーケット開始日
Jul 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between July 14, 12:00 PM ET and July 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump's established Truth Social activity, averaging 18-19 posts daily in 2025 and early 2026 for roughly 126-133 per week, forms the baseline for trader assessments of the July 14-21 period. Recent Iran-related military developments have produced short-term spikes, including days exceeding 30 posts, yet no major scheduled events or confirmed escalations currently align with the resolution window. The near-even distribution across 40-199 and 200+ buckets captures uncertainty over whether routine commentary, campaign updates, or breaking developments will push volume higher or keep it within historical norms.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between July 14, 12:00 PM ET and July 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$61,124終了日
2026/07/21マーケット開始日
Jul 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Trump's established Truth Social activity, averaging 18-19 posts daily in 2025 and early 2026 for roughly 126-133 per week, forms the baseline for trader assessments of the July 14-21 period. Recent Iran-related military developments have produced short-term spikes, including days exceeding 30 posts, yet no major scheduled events or confirmed escalations currently align with the resolution window. The near-even distribution across 40-199 and 200+ buckets captures uncertainty over whether routine commentary, campaign updates, or breaking developments will push volume higher or keep it within historical norms.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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