Trump's established pattern of high-volume Truth Social activity as president underpins the market's strong consensus around 180-199 posts for the August 7-14 window. Historical data from 2025 showed an average of roughly 18 posts per day, with frequent late-night surges exceeding 20-30 posts daily and occasional single-day totals above 100, often featuring policy announcements, reposts, and commentary on foreign affairs or domestic issues. The current eight-day span aligns closely with these norms absent major schedule disruptions. A sharp reduction in activity, such as during extended travel, health-related pauses, or shifts in focus away from the platform, remains the primary scenario that could alter the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日180-199 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$147,314 Vol.
$147,314 Vol.
2026/08/14
<20
No
20-39
No
40-59
No
60-79
No
80-99
No
100-119
No
120-139
No
140-159
No
160-179
No
180-199
Yes
200+
No
180-199 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$147,314 Vol.
$147,314 Vol.
2026/08/14
<20
$4,361 Vol.
No
20-39
$5,641 Vol.
No
40-59
$5,203 Vol.
No
60-79
$5,673 Vol.
No
80-99
$4,149 Vol.
No
100-119
$5,367 Vol.
No
120-139
$7,406 Vol.
No
140-159
$3,886 Vol.
No
160-179
$37,288 Vol.
No
180-199
$58,688 Vol.
Yes
200+
$9,654 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump's established pattern of high-volume Truth Social activity as president underpins the market's strong consensus around 180-199 posts for the August 7-14 window. Historical data from 2025 showed an average of roughly 18 posts per day, with frequent late-night surges exceeding 20-30 posts daily and occasional single-day totals above 100, often featuring policy announcements, reposts, and commentary on foreign affairs or domestic issues. The current eight-day span aligns closely with these norms absent major schedule disruptions. A sharp reduction in activity, such as during extended travel, health-related pauses, or shifts in focus away from the platform, remains the primary scenario that could alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
マーケット開始日： Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
音量
$147,314終了日
2026/08/14マーケット開始日
Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump's established pattern of high-volume Truth Social activity as president underpins the market's strong consensus around 180-199 posts for the August 7-14 window. Historical data from 2025 showed an average of roughly 18 posts per day, with frequent late-night surges exceeding 20-30 posts daily and occasional single-day totals above 100, often featuring policy announcements, reposts, and commentary on foreign affairs or domestic issues. The current eight-day span aligns closely with these norms absent major schedule disruptions. A sharp reduction in activity, such as during extended travel, health-related pauses, or shifts in focus away from the platform, remains the primary scenario that could alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$147,314終了日
2026/08/14マーケット開始日
Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Trump's established pattern of high-volume Truth Social activity as president underpins the market's strong consensus around 180-199 posts for the August 7-14 window. Historical data from 2025 showed an average of roughly 18 posts per day, with frequent late-night surges exceeding 20-30 posts daily and occasional single-day totals above 100, often featuring policy announcements, reposts, and commentary on foreign affairs or domestic issues. The current eight-day span aligns closely with these norms absent major schedule disruptions. A sharp reduction in activity, such as during extended travel, health-related pauses, or shifts in focus away from the platform, remains the primary scenario that could alter the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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